Vladivostok vs Dynamo Moscow: match prediction on 17 September 2026

Dynamo Moscow are the clear favourites for this KHL fixture, and the model backs them to extend their winning run against Vladivostok. The visitors have won four of the last six meetings between these sides and come into this match with three victories from five games, while the hosts have managed just one win from four. The bookmakers back the visitors at 53%.

Dynamo Moscow have been the more productive side this season. Their last five matches show three wins and two losses, with 11 goals scored and 10 conceded. The most recent result was a 2:0 away victory over Cherepovets on 14 September, and before that a 3:2 home win against Dinamo Minsk. They have not drawn any of their five games so far. The model projects three goals.

Vladivostok have struggled since the season began. Four matches, one win, three defeats, and they sit fourth in the standings. Their last five games produced the same pattern: one victory and four losses, with 11 goals for and 14 against. They beat CSKA Moscow 4:2 on 11 September. Since then they have lost to Nizhnekamsk 1:2 and failed to score in a 0:2 defeat to Bars Kazan. The model gives them 2.3 expected goals.

The head-to-head record favours Dynamo Moscow. In six meetings since September 2023, the visitors have won four times while Vladivostok have claimed two victories. The most recent encounter came on 9 September at Dynamo's home ground, where they won 2:1. Vladivostok host for the first time this season, but the visitors have won four of the last six.

The model's expected goals suggest a high-scoring game with Dynamo likely to edge it. Both teams to score sits at 86%, and the probability of three or more goals is 90%. The most likely scorelines are 2:3 to Dynamo, 2:2, and 1:3 to the visitors. A draw would suit neither side given the away team's superior form and head-to-head record.