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Northampton Saints vs Newcastle Red Bulls: match prediction on 25 September 2026

Premiership Rugby Franklin's Gardens Northampton Hit Match page
Northampton Saints Newcastle Red Bulls

Prediction for

Win: Northampton Saints

73%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

73% 1
27% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 23 Sep, 20:00

The match was scheduled to begin at 18:45 UTC on 25 September 2026 within the Premiership Rugby competition.

Pre-Match Context

Internal database records indicate that Northampton Saints entered the fixture as favourites, having been listed as "title defenders". Recent form data shows both teams shared identical records in their preceding five matches, each securing two victories against three defeats. Northampton Saints had scored 158 points while conceding 211, Newcastle Red Bulls scored 131 and conceded 265.

Head-to-Head History

Historical data from the internal database lists four meetings between these sides in recent years. Northampton Saints hold a three-win advantage over Newcastle Red Bulls, who have won once. The most recent encounter on 21 March 2026 saw Northampton Saints defeat Newcastle Red Bulls 28:27. Another meeting on 20 February 2026 resulted in a 49:21 victory for Northampton Saints.

Team News and Predictions

Reports from the last 45 days note that Ed Prowse moved from tighthead prop to second row, and captain Furbank has left the club. Henry Pollock’s contract situation remains open, with discussions ongoing as of 14 September 2026. A pre-match model put the Saints at 73% to win, with an expected scoreline of 46-23.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 23 Sep, 20:00
  • Нортгемптон Сэйнтс, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Ньюкасл Ред Буллз, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Нортгемптон Сэйнтс — 3, Ньюкасл Ред Буллз — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Northampton Saints LWLWW 3 wins · 2 losses
Newcastle Red Bulls WLLLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 4

3Northampton Saints 0Draw 1Newcastle Red Bulls
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+