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Scotland Women vs New Zealand Women: match prediction on 19 September 2026

WXV 1 Women Murrayfield Stadium Edinburgh Hit Match page
Scotland Women New Zealand Women

Prediction for

Win: New Zealand Women

79%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

21% 1
79% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 15:08

New Zealand Women defeat Scotland

New Zealand Women secured a victory against Scotland Women in their WXV 1 Women fixture on 19 September 2026. The result moved the visitors into third place in the standings with four points, while Scotland remained in twelfth place with zero points after their first match of the tournament.

The performance contrasted sharply with the recent form of both sides. New Zealand Women entered the match having won four of their last five games, including a 28:14 victory over France in their opening WXV 1 game. Scotland Women, by contrast, had lost five consecutive matches, suffering a heavy 26:64 defeat to Canada in their own opener.

The historical context of the fixture added to the disparity between the two teams. In their previous meeting on 22 October 2022 during the Women's World Cup, New Zealand Women won 57:0. The statistical model generated prior to the match had predicted a scoreline of 24.7 to 38.3 in favour of New Zealand, with a zero per cent probability of a draw.

The win extended New Zealand Women's positive run, whereas Scotland's results continued a pattern of high goal deficits. In their last five matches, Scotland had scored 80 goals while conceding 312, compared to New Zealand's 207 goals for and 113 against across the same period.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 15:08
  • Шотландия (жен.) — 12. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
  • Женская сборная Новой Зеландии — 3. place, 4 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Шотландия (жен.), last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Женская сборная Новой Зеландии, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Шотландия (жен.) — 0, Женская сборная Новой Зеландии — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Scotland Women LLLLL 5 losses
New Zealand Women WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 1

0Scotland Women 0Draw 1New Zealand Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+