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Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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US Oyonnax vs Biarritz Olympique: match prediction on 4 September 2026
US Oyonnax
Biarritz Olympique
Prediction for
Win: US Oyonnax
89%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
89%
1
11%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 18:49- Уайоннакс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Биарриц Олимпик, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 5 games, Уайоннакс — 2, Биарриц Олимпик — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
US Oyonnax
WLWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Biarritz Olympique
LWWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 6
2US Oyonnax
0Draw
4Biarritz Olympique
- 3 AprUS Oyonnax — Biarritz Olympique48:14
- 19 Dec 2025Biarritz Olympique — US Oyonnax42:17
- 28 Feb 2025US Oyonnax — Biarritz Olympique29:36
- 13 Sep 2024Biarritz Olympique — US Oyonnax19:13
- 9 Feb 2023US Oyonnax — Biarritz Olympique42:17
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 18:49US Oyonnax to win. The hosts have dominated this fixture in recent years and carry superior momentum into Saturday's Pro D2 clash.
Recent form favours the hosts
US Oyonnax have won four of their last five matches, averaging 32 points scored and 26.8 conceded per match. They beat Beziers 31:21 away on 27 August and have been particularly strong at home, winning 39:14 against Valence Romans and 36:25 versus Aurillac. The only blemish came in a heavy 7:48 defeat away to Vannes in May. Biarritz Olympique sit slightly behind, with three wins and two losses in their last five outings, accumulating 9 points from 132 goals for and 103 against. They won 36:5 at home against Nissa on 27 August and 41:15 versus Carcassonne on 15 May, but suffered defeats away to Béziers 17:43 and Agen 7:26.
US Oyonnax hold the edge in head-to-head
The record over the past six meetings shows US Oyonnax with four victories to Biarritz's two. The most recent encounter on 3 April 2026 ended 48:14 in Oyonnax's favour at home, while Biarritz won 42:17 at their own ground in December 2025. Oyonnax also claimed 42:17 at home in February 2023.
The model points to a one-sided affair
The statistical model expects US Oyonnax to outscore Biarritz 37 to 18.1, a gap that aligns with the hosts' attacking output in recent matches. The probability of a draw sits at 0%, with both teams to score also at 0% and three or more goals at 0%. The expected points suggest a margin of at least 19, consistent with the 48:14 result from April.
Biarritz must find a response
Biarritz's away record in recent fixtures offers little comfort. They lost 17:43 at Beziers and 7:26 at Agen, conceding heavily in both defeats. Their two home wins came against Nissa and Carcassonne, sides that may not test them as rigorously as US Oyonnax will on Saturday.
The prediction holds only if Biarritz match US Oyonnax's intensity
US Oyonnax's confidence from their recent run and their dominance in this fixture gives them the upper hand. A draw or victory for Biarritz would require them to improve on their away form and find a way to contain Oyonnax's attack, which has been prolific in recent matches. If Biarritz can limit the hosts' scoring opportunities and exploit any defensive lapses, the outcome could change.