Yenisey-STM Krasnoyarsk vs Slava Moscow: match prediction on 12 September 2026

Yenisey-STM Krasnoyarsk win. The hosts have taken six straight victories over Slava Moscow, and their current form leaves no room for doubt. Slava have not won a single match this season — five defeats in five games, conceding 164 points while scoring 49. The model puts Yenisey's expected points at 43.3 and Slava's at 13.6, with a 0% probability of a draw. A home victory is the only logical outcome.

Yenisey have won four of their last five matches, losing only once in a 33:37 home defeat to Dynamo Moscow on 5 July. Their recent results include a 49:5 away demolition of VVA-Podmoskovye and a 41:31 home win over Lokomotiv Penza on 6 September. They have scored 180 points in those five games while conceding 118, and they play at home where they have been particularly dominant — three wins in four home matches this season.

The largest margin was 71:24 in June 2025. Slava have not managed a point in any of those encounters, and the pattern shows no sign of reversing.

Yenisey are projected to score 43.3 goals on average across simulated versions of this match, while Slava's 13.6 reflects their inability to trouble opposition defences. The draw probability sits at 0%, and the chance of both teams scoring is also 0%. Three or more goals from Slava is similarly ruled out. These figures are built from goals scored and conceded.

A draw would suit Slava's approach of running the clock down, and that is the main threat to this conclusion. If they can keep the score tight and avoid being blown away early, they might frustrate Yenisey into a stalemate. But given how thoroughly they have been outplayed in every previous meeting, and how they have lost all five matches this season, that scenario seems remote. Yenisey win unless Slava can somehow hold the tie in their own hands — which they have not managed to do in seven years of trying.