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Arctic Rovaniemi Women vs Puijo Women: match prediction on 15 October 2026

Mestaruusliiga Women Santasport Rovaniemi Hit Match page
Arctic Rovaniemi Women Puijo Women

Prediction for

Win: Puijo Women

72%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

28% 1
72% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 13 Oct, 16:45

Puijo Women to win. The visitors have won all six of their last meetings against Arctic Rovaniemi and the model puts their goal expectation at 2.6 to the hosts' 1.3.

Arctic Rovaniemi sit third on six points after three matches, one ahead of Puijo who are fourth on five. Both sides have won two and lost one. The gap is narrow, but the recent history between them tells a different story. Puijo have dominated this fixture for years, collecting 13 victories from 15 encounters while Arctic have managed only two wins.

Arctic's last five matches read two wins and three losses, with seven goals scored and eleven conceded. Their most recent outing ended 0:3 away to Polkky Kuusamo on 11 October. Puijo have been steadier, taking nine points from their last five games with twelve goals for and eight against. They beat Viesti 3:2 at home on 10 October and Puma 3:0 two days later.

The head-to-head record is stark. Puijo won every match in the last six meetings, including a 3:1 victory at Arctic on 12 March and a 3:0 win at Rovaniemi on 14 December. Arctic have not beaten Puijo in over a year and bring that form into this match.

The model expects Puijo to score 2.6 goals while Arctic are projected at 1.3. The draw probability sits at 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and three or more goals at 0%. The visitors have shown they can score freely against this opposition, and the hosts have not kept a clean sheet in their last three matches against Puijo.

Arctic find a way to contain Puijo's attack in the first half and turn the match into a tight, low-scoring affair. But if Arctic can frustrate the visitors early and protect a narrow lead, the visitors' dominance could evaporate.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 13 Oct, 16:45
  • Арктик Рованиэми — 3. place, 6 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
  • Пуййо Женс — 4. place, 5 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
  • Арктик Рованиэми, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Пуййо Женс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 15 games, Арктик Рованиэми — 2, Пуййо Женс — 13

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Arctic Rovaniemi Women LWWLL 2 wins · 3 losses
Puijo Women WLWWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 15

2Arctic Rovaniemi Women 0Draw 13Puijo Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+