Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Bialystok Women
Legionovia Women
Prediction for
Win: Bialystok Women
72%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 8
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 24 Sep, 16:04Bialystok Women to win. According to the model, the hosts are expected to score 2.4 goals against 1.6 for Legionovia Women, and the historical record leaves no room for doubt — Bialystok Women have won seven of eight meetings, including a 3:1 victory in January. Legionovia Women have struggled for goals, scoring just six in their last five matches while conceding thirteen.
Bialystok Women have taken one win and dropped twelve points from four defeats. Legionovia Women lost 0:3 away at Sosnowiec and 1:3 at Szczyrk in February, then dropped points in both home fixtures against Nysa and Imielin. Bialystok Women's sole win came 3:2 away at KS Pila, while Legionovia Women's victory was 3:1 at home against Imielin.
Eight meetings. Seven wins for Bialystok Women. One for Legionovia Women. The most recent encounter ended 3:1 in Bialystok's favour on 11 January, and the pattern holds across every fixture. Bialystok Women won 3:1 at home in November 2024, then 3:2 away in December 2023. The only defeat came 3:2 at home to Legionovia Women in March 2024. The visitors have never won in Bialystok.
The model expects Bialystok Women to score 2.4 goals and Legionovia Women 1.6. The draw probability sits at 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and three or more goals at 0%. Legionovia Women's attack has been toothless — they scored just once in their last four defeats. Bialystok Women have been more consistent, finding the net in every match except one, though their defence has leaked goals freely.
This prediction falls apart if Legionovia Women change their approach to a defensive block and Bialystok Women cannot break them down. A 0:0 or 1:0 result for the visitors would overturn the model's expectation of a home win. The data shows no such scenario in eight meetings, but football does not repeat itself exactly.