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Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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ETV Hamburg Women vs Erfurt Women: match prediction on 13 October 2026
ETV Hamburg Women
Erfurt Women
Prediction for
Win: Erfurt Women
69%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
31%
1
69%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 17:45- ETV Гамбург Женщины — 7. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
- Эрфурт Женщины — 5. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- ETV Гамбург Женщины, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Эрфурт Женщины, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, ETV Гамбург Женщины — 0, Эрфурт Женщины — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
ETV Hamburg Women
LWLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Erfurt Women
LLLWW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 2
0ETV Hamburg Women
0Draw
2Erfurt Women
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 17:45Erfurt Women to win at ETV Hamburg on 13 October 2026. The visitors carry momentum from their opening victory and have dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning both meetings by a combined margin of six goals. The model expects 1.8 goals for Erfurt against 1.5 for the hosts, with a 0% probability of a draw.
ETV Hamburg opened their campaign with a defeat and sit bottom of the table with zero points after one match. Their recent form shows only one win from five games, scoring four goals and conceding fourteen. That latest outing ended 1:3 away to Flacht Women on 10 October 2026. The visitors have mirrored that pattern themselves, also managing just one victory from their last five matches. Their opening result was a 3:2 home win against Vilsbiburg Women on the same day.
The two sides have met twice this season, and Erfurt have taken all six available points. They won 3:1 away from home in November 2025, then secured a 3:0 victory at Hamburg in February 2026. Those results suggest a clear hierarchy between the squads, even if both sides have struggled for consistency elsewhere.
In the current standings, Erfurt occupy sixth place with two points from one game, while ETV Hamburg languish in ninth after their opening loss. The gap between them is minimal in absolute terms, but the psychological weight of those head-to-head results matters more than a single point difference.
The model projects a narrow victory for the visitors, expecting them to score more frequently than their opponents. The expected goals figures of 1.5 for Hamburg and 1.8 for Erfurt point to a low-scoring affair, yet one where Erfurt's attacking edge should prove decisive. A draw carries no probability according to the calculations, and the chance of both teams finding the net sits at zero percent.
This conclusion stops holding if Hamburg can contain Erfurt's early pressure and exploit defensive vulnerabilities. The visitors have conceded in four of their last five matches, including three defeats by three-goal margins. If Hamburg can frustrate them and take a surprise lead, the momentum could shift entirely.
65% confidence in an Erfurt Women victory.