Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Aylabon: match prediction on 13 October 2026

The model predicts a Hapoel Kfar Saba win. The hosts are given 60% confidence, and the head-to-head record carries weight — four wins against two losses across six meetings — even though Aylabon took the most recent encounter 3:0 in January.

The hosts have not looked convincing lately. They have won one of their last five matches, lost four, and taken just three points. Three of those defeats came against M. Tel Aviv, all ending 0:3, with one in a friendly and two in the Premier League. They did manage a 16:14 victory over M. Hod Hasharon on the same day as a 2:3 loss to the same side, which suggests inconsistency rather than a clear pattern. They have scored 18 points and conceded 26 across the run.

Aylabon have been slightly more productive. Two wins and three losses in five matches, six points on the board. They beat M. Tel Aviv 3:2 at home and Hapoel Kfar Saba 3:0 away in January. Their other results were defeats — 0:3 to M. Hadera Hefer, 0:3 to H. Mate Asher, and 1:3 to Hapoel Jerusalem. They have scored seven and conceded eleven, a tighter margin than the hosts.

The head-to-head does not tell a simple story. Hapoel Kfar Saba have won four of the last six meetings, but Aylabon claimed the most recent one at home and also won at the hosts' ground in October 2025. The earlier encounters went to Hapoel — 3:1 and 3:0 at home, 1:3 and 3:0 away.

The model expects 2.9 goals for Hapoel Kfar Saba and 2.7 for Aylabon, with a 0% probability of a draw and 0% for both teams scoring. They suggest a narrow margin, but the confidence sits at 60%, which acknowledges the volatility of this fixture.

A draw would break the conclusion, and given how Aylabon have run matches recently, that is the main threat. They have won two of five without a single draw, which means they either push for a result or concede one. If they sit deep and take the match to a tie, the model's edge disappears.