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Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk: match prediction on 23 September 2026

Russian Cup Palace of Games Sports Ivanovo Miss Match page
Tekstilshchik Chelyabinsk

Prediction for

Win: Tekstilshchik

75%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

75% 1
25% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 21 Sep, 14:03

Tekstilshchik win. The hosts carry a dominant head-to-head record and the model assigns them the higher expected goals total.

Chelyabinsk sit top of the Russian Cup table on 7 points from three matches, two wins and one loss. Tekstilshchik are second with 6 points from the same number of games, also two victories and one defeat.

Tekstilshchik have won four of the six meetings, losing twice. Their most recent encounter ended 3:2 at home in April. Chelyabinsk's victories came in March 2025 and April 2026.

Chelyabinsk's recent form is strong. Three wins and two defeats in five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding eight. Tekstilshchik managed two wins and three losses, netting six goals while letting in nine. The visitors have found the net more freely and kept cleaner sheets in their latest outings.

The model expects Tekstilshchik to score 2.6 goals and Chelyabinsk 1.8, backing the hosts.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 21 Sep, 14:03
  • Текстильщик — 2. place, 3 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • Челябинск — 1. place, 7 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
  • Текстильщик, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Челябинск, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Текстильщик — 5, Челябинск — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Tekstilshchik LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses
Chelyabinsk WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 6

5Tekstilshchik 0Draw 1Chelyabinsk
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+