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Ufa vs Orenburg: match prediction on 9 September 2026

Russian Cup Dvorets Borby Ufa Miss Match page
Ufa Orenburg

Prediction for

Win: Ufa

62%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

62% 1
38% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 15:03

Ufa are favourites to win the Russian Cup clash against Orenburg on 9 September. Ufa have won four of six meetings since October 2024.

Ufa’s recent form shows 3 wins and 2 losses across their last 5 matches. They suffered heavy defeats in the Cup against Belgorod, losing 0:3 at home and 1:3 away, but recovered with wins against Orenburg. Their last 5 games scored 10, conceded 9. The hosts will look to build on those victories over their rivals.

Orenburg sit fourth in the table with 7 points from 6 matches. They scored 78 and conceded 67 in their last five across RPL and Cup. They won 3 matches and lost 2, including a narrow defeat to Ufa in the Cup earlier this year. Their offensive output remains high, but consistency has been elusive.

The head-to-head record over the past 2 years favours Ufa. In 6 encounters, Ufa claimed 4 wins, including a 3:1 victory in the Cup in April 2026 and a 3:0 away win. Orenburg secured 2 wins, 1 in the Superliga in November 2025 and another in January 2026. Ufa have dominated these fixtures, particularly in the Cup.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 15:03
  • Оренбург — 4. place, 7 points after 6 games (2 wins, 4 losses)
  • Уфа, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Оренбург, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 14 games, Уфа — 9, Оренбург — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Ufa LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses
Orenburg LLWLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 24

18Ufa 0Draw 6Orenburg
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+