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Las Vegas Aces Women vs Toronto Tempo Women: match prediction on 29 August 2026

NBA Women Michelob ULTRA Arena Las Vegas Hit Match page
Las Vegas Aces Women Toronto Tempo Women

Prediction for

Win: Las Vegas Aces Women

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

59% 1
41% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 27 Aug, 17:03

Las Vegas Aces Women vs Toronto Tempo Women Preview

The Lay of the Land

Las Vegas Aces Women take on Toronto Tempo Women on 29 August 2026. The Aces sit third with 26 wins from 39 matches, while Toronto languish in sixth—or thirteenth, depending on which database you consult—with just 11 victories from 38 games.

I see Las Vegas winning this one. The conditions are clear, and the home side's superiority shows itself.

Form and Momentum

Las Vegas have won three of their last five, losing to Atlanta Dream and Minnesota Lynx at home but bouncing back with victories over Washington Mystics and Toronto Tempo. They scored 441 points in those five games, conceding 421.

Toronto's trajectory runs the opposite direction. One win in five—against Portland at home—followed by defeats to Seattle, Washington, and Indiana. They scored 415 points while allowing 451.

Head-to-Head Dominance

The Aces have swept Toronto in both previous meetings this season. On 23 August they won 88:78 in Toronto, and on 21 July they triumphed 109:83 away from home.

Toronto have not recorded a win against Las Vegas in either encounter.

Statistical Profile

Las Vegas average 69 field goals, 18.6 free throws, and 8.7 three-pointers per game. Their rebounding is solid at 31.8 total, with 23.2 defensive boards. Turnovers are kept to 12.7 per game, and they generate 6.4 steals and 4.4 blocks.

Toronto's offensive profile is similar—68 field goals, 19.6 free throws, 9.5 three-pointers—but their defensive metrics tell a different story. They surrender 14.9 turnovers per game, nearly two more than Las Vegas, and generate fewer steals and blocks.

Analysis

The statistical model projects Las Vegas at 96 points and Toronto at 85.3.

What Could Go Wrong

If they improve their rebounding—currently 31.5 compared to Las Vegas 31.8—or reduce their turnover rate from 14.9 to match Las Vegas's 12.7, the game becomes competitive.

They would need to convert their offensive opportunities more efficiently than in recent matches.

Final Assessment

Las Vegas Aces Women to win. Toronto would need to elevate their defensive performance significantly and maintain offensive efficiency beyond their recent averages for the upset to occur.

The Aces have the depth, the experience, and the momentum. Toronto have neither at this stage of the season.

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Reasoning

Based on data as of 27 Aug, 17:03
  • Лас-Вегас Эйсес (жен.) идёт 3-м: 0 очков после 39 матчей (26 побед, 0 ничьих, 13 поражений)
  • Торонто Темпо (жен.) идёт 6-м: 0 очков после 38 матчей (11 побед, 0 ничьих, 27 поражений)
  • Последние 5 матчей Лас-Вегас Эйсес (жен.): 3 побед, 0 ничьих, 2 поражений
  • Последние 5 матчей Торонто Темпо (жен.): 1 побед, 0 ничьих, 4 поражений
  • Очные встречи за последние годы: сыграно 2, побед Лас-Вегас Эйсес (жен.) — 2, ничьих 0, побед Торонто Темпо (жен.) — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Las Vegas Aces Women LLWWW 3 wins · 2 losses
Toronto Tempo Women WLLLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 2

2Las Vegas Aces Women 0Draw 0Toronto Tempo Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+