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Las Vegas Aces Women
Prediction for
Win: Las Vegas Aces Women
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 2
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 17:03Las Vegas Aces Women vs Toronto Tempo Women Preview
The Lay of the Land
Las Vegas Aces Women take on Toronto Tempo Women on 29 August 2026. The Aces sit third with 26 wins from 39 matches, while Toronto languish in sixth—or thirteenth, depending on which database you consult—with just 11 victories from 38 games.
I see Las Vegas winning this one. The conditions are clear, and the home side's superiority shows itself.
Form and Momentum
Las Vegas have won three of their last five, losing to Atlanta Dream and Minnesota Lynx at home but bouncing back with victories over Washington Mystics and Toronto Tempo. They scored 441 points in those five games, conceding 421.
Toronto's trajectory runs the opposite direction. One win in five—against Portland at home—followed by defeats to Seattle, Washington, and Indiana. They scored 415 points while allowing 451.
Head-to-Head Dominance
The Aces have swept Toronto in both previous meetings this season. On 23 August they won 88:78 in Toronto, and on 21 July they triumphed 109:83 away from home.
Toronto have not recorded a win against Las Vegas in either encounter.
Statistical Profile
Las Vegas average 69 field goals, 18.6 free throws, and 8.7 three-pointers per game. Their rebounding is solid at 31.8 total, with 23.2 defensive boards. Turnovers are kept to 12.7 per game, and they generate 6.4 steals and 4.4 blocks.
Toronto's offensive profile is similar—68 field goals, 19.6 free throws, 9.5 three-pointers—but their defensive metrics tell a different story. They surrender 14.9 turnovers per game, nearly two more than Las Vegas, and generate fewer steals and blocks.
Analysis
The statistical model projects Las Vegas at 96 points and Toronto at 85.3.
What Could Go Wrong
If they improve their rebounding—currently 31.5 compared to Las Vegas 31.8—or reduce their turnover rate from 14.9 to match Las Vegas's 12.7, the game becomes competitive.
They would need to convert their offensive opportunities more efficiently than in recent matches.
Final Assessment
Las Vegas Aces Women to win. Toronto would need to elevate their defensive performance significantly and maintain offensive efficiency beyond their recent averages for the upset to occur.
The Aces have the depth, the experience, and the momentum. Toronto have neither at this stage of the season.
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