Abejas vs Santos: match prediction on 27 September 2026

Match report: Abejas vs Santos

Santos defeated Abejas 87–86 in the first meeting of the LNBP series on 26 September 2026. The result meant the visitors took a 1–0 lead in the head-to-head record, which had been level at 7 wins apiece in previous years.

Abejas entered the game on a run of one win in five matches, with four losses and a points difference of 420 to 427. Santos arrived on a better note, recording two wins and three defeats in the same span, with a points difference of 443 to 447. The model had expected Abejas to score 87.2 points and Santos 84.6, with a zero per cent probability of a draw. The final score closely followed those projections.

Key statistics

Over the last ten matches Santos averaged 65.78 per cent shooting from the field and 9.78 three-pointers, compared with Abejas’s 64.2 per cent and 9.4. Abejas secured 35.8 rebounds and committed 15.5 turnovers per game, while Santos recorded 33.11 rebounds and 11.67 turnovers. Abejas drew 18.5 personal fouls per match against 21.89 for Santos, and Santos recorded 8.22 steals to Abejas’s 7.3.

Head-to-head context

The two sides shared seven wins each in fourteen meetings over the last few years. Abejas had not managed to reverse the trend in their recent head-to-head record, losing that prior encounter despite hosting the visitors. The result did not instantly alter the overall balance, but it shifted momentum in a tightly contested rivalry.