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Atlanta Dream Women vs New York Liberty Women: match prediction on 4 October 2026

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Atlanta Dream Women New York Liberty Women

Prediction for

Win: Atlanta Dream Women

56%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

56% 1
44% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 21:05

The Atlanta Dream Women defeated the New York Liberty Women 92:82 on 4 October 2026, extending their dominance over a direct rival in the WNBA. The hosts went through a five-match winning streak to secure the victory, maintaining their position at the top of the standings with 30 wins from 44 games. The visitors finished fourth with 26 victories, having lost three of their last five outings.

The final tally reflected the Dream’s offensive consistency, which averaged 71.9 points per game over their last ten matches. The Liberty struggled to match this output, managing only 66.1 points per game in their last ten matches. The visitors hit 10.4 three-point shots on average compared to Atlanta’s 9.9, but they could not overcome the deficit in overall efficiency and ball control.

Atlanta’s advantage was clear in the rebounding battle and ball security. The Dream collected 35.5 rebounds per game while limiting turnovers to 11.1. The Liberty secured more boards, averaging 37.1, but their 15.3 turnovers hindered their ability to finish possessions. The actual result followed a similar pattern, with Atlanta scoring 88.6 points against 83.8 for the visitors.

This result added to the historical head-to-head record, bringing the total number of games played between the sides to 17. New York now holds 11 wins to Atlanta’s 6. The Liberty’s recent form deteriorated sharply after two wins against the Minnesota Lynx Women, succumbing to defeats against both Atlanta dates in September and October. The victory reinforced Atlanta’s standing as the league’s leading team.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 21:05
  • Атланта Дрим — 1. place, 0 points after 44 games (30 wins, 14 losses)
  • Нью-Йорк Либёрти Женс — 4. place, 0 points after 44 games (26 wins, 18 losses)
  • Атланта Дрим, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Нью-Йорк Либёрти Женс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 17 games, Атланта Дрим — 6, Нью-Йорк Либёрти Женс — 11

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Atlanta Dream Women WWWWW 5 wins
New York Liberty Women WWLLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 27

12Atlanta Dream Women 0Draw 15New York Liberty Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+