Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Dep. San Jose
Prediction for
Win: Colonias Gold
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 45
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 10 Sep, 01:02Dep. San Jose to win. The visitors are unbeaten in five and have won three of the last five meetings, including the 105:95 victory on 13 August. Colonias Gold lost 67:70 away to Olimpia Kings Asuncion. San Jose will target a similar margin.
Dep. San Jose leads the LNB after 14 matches with 13 wins and just one defeat. Colonias Gold sit third with 10 wins and 4 losses, four points off the top. The gap is not wide, but the quality of victories separates them. Dep. San Jose have lost only once all season; Colonias Gold have tasted defeat in nearly a third of their games.
Dep. San Jose have won all five of their last matches, scoring 487 points while conceding 366. That is an average of 97.4 points per game. Colonias Gold have won four and lost one, averaging 83.8 points scored and 64.2 conceded across the same period. The visitors' attack is the more potent force.
Over 37 meetings, Dep. San Jose have won 26 times to Colonias Gold's 11. In the last five encounters the visitors have taken three wins — including the 105:95 result at their own venue on 13 August and the 106:93 triumph at Colonias Gold's court on 4 June. Colonias Gold won two of those five, but the most recent meeting settled the question.
The model expects Colonias Gold to score 78.4 points and Dep. San Jose 76.4. The margin is narrow, but the visitors' defensive record — conceding 73.2 points per game in their last five — suggests they will keep the hosts closer than the raw numbers imply.
A win for Colonias Gold becomes likely if they replicate the 91:74 victory over Deportivo Campoalto on 20 August — a 17-point margin that shows what they can achieve on their day. If the hosts hit that level and Dep. San Jose's shooting drops below their 68.5 field goal average, the visitors' superiority evaporates.