Correcaminos UAT Victoria vs Dorados: match prediction on 12 September 2026

They have won four of the last five encounters between these sides, including the first leg on 11 September when they took an 86-79 victory away from home. The model expects Dorados to score 90.6 points and Correcaminos 83.9, a difference of nearly seven points.

Correcaminos UAT Victoria have struggled since that opening meeting. In five matches they have won just once, losing four, and have been outscored 471 to 397. Their defeat to Dorados on 11 September was part of a run that includes two heavy losses to Panteras — 88-100 and 78-111 — and a home defeat to Soles on 25 August. The only bright spot was a 78-74 win over Soles on 26 August, but that does not offset the pattern. They are scoring less than they are conceding and the gap is widening.

Dorados have been more consistent, with three wins from five games and a point differential of 428 to 423. They are averaging more points than Correcaminos and have kept their defence tighter.

Dorados lead 4-1 in five meetings.

This conclusion would not hold if Correcaminos can reverse their recent slide and find consistency on both ends of the court. At present there is no sign of that happening.