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Diablos Rojos vs Correcaminos UAT Victoria: match prediction on 16 September 2026

LNBP Gimnasio Olímpico Juan de la Barrera Mexico City Hit Match page
Diablos Rojos Correcaminos UAT Victoria

Prediction for

Win: Diablos Rojos

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

59% 1
41% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Sep, 03:33

Diablos Rojos are the clear favourites for this LNBP fixture. They have won three of their last five matches while Correcaminos UAT Victoria have managed only one victory in the same period, and the hosts have dominated the recent head-to-head record with four wins from five meetings.

Recent form

Diablos Rojos have been competitive on both sides of the court. They beat Correcaminos UAT Victoria 107:79 at home on 15 September, lost 85:98 away to Mineros, then recovered with an 81:75 win away at Mineros. They also defeated Santos 97:87 at home after losing 82:95 in the same venue a few days earlier. Their scoring average across those five games sits at 90.4 points per match, with 86.8 conceded.

Correcaminos UAT Victoria have found results harder to come by. Their sole win in the last five came against Dorados 85:83 at home on 12 September. They then lost 79:86 at home to Dorados, followed by defeats of 88:100 and 78:111 away to Panteras. They scored just 81.8 points per game and conceded 97.4.

Head-to-head

Diablos Rojos have won four of the last five, including a 107:79 thrashing on 15 September and back-to-back September 2024/2025 victories by 11 and 20 points. The only loss came 95:97 in September 2024. The visitors have never won here in five attempts.

Model expectations

The statistical model projects Diablos Rojos to score 92.4 points and Correcaminos UAT Victoria to manage 82. That spread tracks their recent form.

The model expects a decisive finish. If Correcaminos UAT Victoria can limit the scoring difference to under ten points, the value disappears.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Sep, 03:33
  • Диаблос Рохос, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Коррекаминос УАТ Виктория, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Диаблос Рохос — 3, Коррекаминос УАТ Виктория — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Diablos Rojos LWWLW 3 wins · 2 losses
Correcaminos UAT Victoria WLLLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 5

4Diablos Rojos 0Draw 1Correcaminos UAT Victoria
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+