Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
Read more
Egypt vs Democratic Republic of the Congo: match prediction on 30 August 2026
Egypt
Democratic Republic of the Congo
Prediction for
Win: Egypt
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
59%
1
41%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 19:23- Египет, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Демократическая Республика Конго, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Egypt
WLWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Democratic Republic of the Congo
LLLLW
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 2
2Egypt
0Draw
0Democratic Republic of the Congo
- 3 Jul 2022Democratic Republic of the Congo — Egypt52:80
- 27 Feb 2022Egypt — Democratic Republic of the Congo62:51
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 19:23With Egypt’s superior shooting efficiency and DR Congo’s turnover crisis, the model projects an 81.1-72 margin.
Egypt have taken three wins from their last five matches, though the results are mixed. They beat Senegal 76:67 at home on 27 August, then lost 66:72 away to Ivory Coast the following day. Before that they lost 68:95 at home to Cameroon, but before that two comfortable victories—77:64 over Uganda and 91:77 against Senegal. The form is uneven, but they have beaten two of DR Congo's recent opponents in Senegal and Uganda.
DR Congo's run has been far worse. They lost 74:101 at home to Mali on 29 August and 68:100 away to Angola on 27 August, conceding 100 points in consecutive matches. Their only win came 65:58 away to Rwanda on 15 August 2025, and since then they have lost four straight against Cameroon, Ivory Coast, Angola and Mali. The defensive collapse is stark—they are averaging 96.5 points conceded across their last two games.
The head-to-head record is one-sided. Egypt won 80:52 away to DR Congo in July 2022 and 62:51 at home in February 2022, winning by 28 and 11 points respectively. DR Congo have not come close to matching Egypt's output in either meeting. Egypt's shooting efficiency shows the gap—28 successful field goals from 73.5 attempts over their last two matches, compared to DR Congo's 26 from 64.5.
Turnovers tell another story. DR Congo are averaging 24 turnovers per game over their last two matches, more than double Egypt's 13.5. Egypt's defensive rebounding is also stronger at 29 per game versus DR Congo's 23. The model's expected points of 81.1 to 72 reflect these structural differences—Egypt's ability to protect possessions and convert them.
The prediction breaks down if DR Congo's shooting percentage improves dramatically or if Egypt's key players are unavailable. The model assumes current efficiency levels hold, but a sudden shift in three-point accuracy or a turnover spike from Egypt would alter the margin significantly.