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Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva: match prediction on 18 September 2026
Hapoel Jerusalem
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Prediction for
Win: Hapoel Jerusalem
62%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
62%
1
38%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 12:33- Хапоэль Иерусалим, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Хапоэль Беэр-Шева, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 12 games, Хапоэль Иерусалим — 10, Хапоэль Беэр-Шева — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Hapoel Jerusalem
WLLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
LLLWL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 18
15Hapoel Jerusalem
0Draw
3Hapoel Be'er Sheva
- 20 MayHapoel Jerusalem — Hapoel Be'er Sheva103:87
- 21 Dec 2025Hapoel Be'er Sheva — Hapoel Jerusalem90:75
- 17 Sep 2025Hapoel Be'er Sheva — Hapoel Jerusalem76:92
- 11 Apr 2025Hapoel Jerusalem — Hapoel Be'er Sheva83:81
- 19 Jan 2025Hapoel Be'er Sheva — Hapoel Jerusalem96:99
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 12:33Hapoel Jerusalem are expected to win this League Cup fixture against Hapoel Be'er Sheva.
Jerusalem have taken nine points from their last five matches, winning three and losing two. Their most recent outing was a 110:77 victory away at Maccabi Ashdod B.C. on 8 September. Before that they lost two Super League games to Hapoel Tel Aviv, then beat Hapoel HaEmek twice, once at home and once away. They have scored 455 points and conceded 416 across those five games.
Be'er Sheva have managed only three points from their last five, winning one and losing four. Their sole victory came at home against Maccabi Ashdod B.C. on 15 September, 103:101. The other four results were defeats, including a 87:103 loss away to Jerusalem on 20 May. They have scored 442 points and conceded 501 in that span.
The head-to-head record shows Jerusalem winning ten of twelve meetings. Be'er Sheva have taken two victories. The most recent meeting ended 103:87 to Jerusalem in the Super League on 20 May. Before that, Be'er Sheva won 90:75 at home on 21 December 2025.
The model expects Jerusalem to score 96.2 points and Be'er Sheva 81.4. The draw probability is listed at 0%. These figures suggest a one-sided affair with Jerusalem maintaining their scoring advantage.
Jerusalem's form shows a team finding consistency after losing two consecutive games to Hapoel Tel Aviv. They have not dropped points in their last three matches, winning all three. The 110:77 victory over Ashdod demonstrates their ability to control games away from home.
Be'er Sheva's struggles are deeper. Four defeats in five games, including two heavy losses to Maccabi Tel Aviv, show a side that cannot match opponents at either end.
The head-to-head dominance is not new. Jerusalem have won ten of twelve meetings, with Be'er Sheva's two victories coming in December 2025 and another earlier encounter. The most recent meeting ended 103:87, a 16-point margin that mirrors the model's expectation.
Jerusalem are poised to extend their winning streak against this particular opponent.