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70%
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KCC Egis vs KoGas Seoul Thunder: match prediction on 7 October 2026
KCC Egis
KoGas Seoul Thunder
Prediction for
Win: KCC Egis
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
53%
1
47%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 5 Oct, 11:05- ККЦ Эгис, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Когас Сеул Тандер, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 25 games, ККЦ Эгис — 11, Когас Сеул Тандер — 14
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
KCC Egis
LWWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
KoGas Seoul Thunder
WLLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 42
19KCC Egis
0Draw
23KoGas Seoul Thunder
- 27 SepKCC Egis — KoGas Seoul Thunder67:80
- 29 MarKoGas Seoul Thunder — KCC Egis80:87
- 14 FebKCC Egis — KoGas Seoul Thunder88:76
- 10 JanKCC Egis — KoGas Seoul Thunder75:89
- 18 Dec 2025KCC Egis — KoGas Seoul Thunder88:84
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 5 Oct, 11:05KCC Egis to win. The model puts them at 83.1 expected points against KoGas Seoul Thunder's 81.6, and the home edge tips a tightly matched pairing.
Both sides sit on identical records: two wins and three defeats from their last five outings. KCC Egis drew level on points with KoGas Seoul Thunder, each collecting six from ten available. The home side's most recent result was a 97:87 victory over Mobis Phoebus away, while the visitors ended their run with an 80:86 loss to Anyang Jung Kwan Jang Red Boosters at home.
Over the past six meetings the tally stands at three wins apiece. KoGas Seoul Thunder took the most recent encounter on 27 September, winning 80:67 in the KBL Cup at KCC Egis's floor. The record offers no clear psychological advantage to either camp.
The projection places KCC Egis at 83.1 expected points and KoGas Seoul Thunder at 81.6, a difference of 1.5 points. Draw probability registers at zero percent, and the model assigns 0% to both teams scoring and to three or more scoring events. The narrow spread suggests a close contest decided by late execution rather than sustained dominance.
KoGas Seoul Thunder have already beaten KCC Egis away from home in September, so a repeat would undermine the home advantage argument. A KoGas win by more than ten points would signal a complete shift from the expected pattern.