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Quezon Huskers vs Cebu Greats: match prediction on 21 October 2026

MPBL Quezon Convention Center Lucena City Pending Match page
Quezon Huskers Cebu Greats

Prediction for

Win: Quezon Huskers

61%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

61% 1
39% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 21 Oct, 01:05

Quezon Huskers to win this MPBL fixture on 21 October, backed by a 61% confidence rating. The hosts lead the table with 23 victories from 27 matches and have won four of their last five outings, including a commanding 99:85 home victory over Zamboanga Sikat on 17 October. Their home record carries the weight here.

Quezon have netted 427 goals across those five games, while Cebu Greats have kept pace with 371 goals in the same span. Cebu travel well, having secured four wins on the road in their last five fixtures, including a narrow 70:67 triumph at Batangas City last month. Both sides enter with identical 4W-1L records, but Quezon’s home dominance tips the balance.

Head-to-head and table

The only meeting between these sides this season ended in a single-point defeat for Quezon, 79:80, when Cebu visited on 3 August. That result sits in the shadow of the current standings, where Quezon occupy first place and Cebu sit fifth. The gap in experience shows clearly: Quezon have played 27 matches compared to Cebu’s 26, and their 23 wins place them at the summit of the MPBL table, while their four losses prove they are vulnerable.

The model projects 79.4 goals for Quezon Huskers against 72.7 for Cebu Greats. It assigns a 0% chance of a draw, with both teams to score and high totals likely, matching their recent encounters. Quezon’s offensive output at home consistently pushes past the 80-goal mark, as seen in their 90:74 win over Rizal Golden Coolers on 21 September.

The pick holds as long as Quezon maintain their home scoring rhythm. The prediction stops holding if Cebu replicate their away resilience and keep the game below 75 goals. A repeat of that 79:80 away defeat would break the trend.

Closing

The data and recent form support a home victory, provided Quezon maintain their tempo.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 21 Oct, 01:05
  • Кезон Хаскерс — 1. place, 0 points after 27 games (23 wins, 4 losses)
  • Себу Грейтс — 5. place, 0 points after 26 games (20 wins, 6 losses)
  • Кезон Хаскерс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Себу Грейтс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Кезон Хаскерс — 0, Себу Грейтс — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Quezon Huskers WWWLW 4 wins · 1 loss
Cebu Greats WWLWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 1

0Quezon Huskers 0Draw 1Cebu Greats
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+