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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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San Alfonzo
Prediction for
Win: Felix Perez Cardozo
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 5
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 6 Sep, 00:42Felix Perez Cardozo to win. The visitors have not lost to San Alfonzo in five meetings and carry a superior record through the season, while the home side sits on a run of four defeats from their last five outings. San Alfonzo have lost four of five, including heavy defeats to Colonias Gold and Dep. San Jose. A Felix Perez Cardozo victory is the only realistic outcome.
San Alfonzo have collected just 3 points from their last 5 matches, scoring 375 points while conceding 458. Their sole victory in that span came away to Capiata Bulls 126:89, a game that stands apart from their other results. The pattern is consistent — they struggle to contain opponents and rarely score above 85 points.
Felix Perez Cardozo have gathered 6 points from their last 5 games with 400 points scored and 442 conceded. They beat Deportivo Campoalto 79:78 at home and Capiata Bulls 99:72 away, but lost to Colonias Gold 60:91, Dep. San Jose 75:93 and Olimpia Kings Asuncion 87:108. The visitors show more capacity to close out games than the hosts, winning two of five while maintaining a positive point differential in those victories. Their position in 4th place after 14 matches reflects that stability.
The head-to-head record is unambiguous. Felix Perez Cardozo have won all five recorded meetings, including an 88:85 victory away to San Alfonzo on 11 August 2026 and a 56:89 win at the same venue on 18 May 2026. The margin in the 2025 encounters was wider — 127:70 and 96:71 — but the pattern of dominance remains. San Alfonzo have not registered a single victory across all five fixtures.
The model expects Felix Perez Cardozo to outscore San Alfonzo by roughly 10 points, with a 0% chance of a draw and a 0% chance that the total reaches 3 points above the combined projection. The visitors' average of 64.8 points per game in their last 10 matches, compared to San Alfonzo's 62.5, supports this gap.