Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Qatar
Singapore
Prediction for
Win: Qatar
58%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 5
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 02:39Qatar to win. The hosts have won every one of the last four meetings, Singapore have lost all five of their recent matches, and the model projects a difference of nearly 18 runs in their favour.
Qatar sit fifth after a single defeat, while Singapore are fourth after two losses. Both sides have zero points, but the margin of those results tells a different story. Qatar lost 272-276 to Oman in their opener, a margin of four runs. Singapore have been hammered in both matches—249-96 to Kuwait and 316-185 to Oman. The runs conceded tell you who is struggling more.
Singapore's last five matches have produced no victories, no draws, and five defeats. The runs tell the tale: 729 scored, 1019 conceded. Their opening ACC match against Kuwait was particularly one-sided at 249-96. Qatar's recent record is mixed—two wins and three losses across five games, with runs of 1036 for and 1054 against. They beat Bahrain twice in February but have lost their last two ACC fixtures.
The head-to-head record is stark. Qatar have won all four of the last four meetings. Three came in the Quadrangular Twenty20 Series in Malaysia in December 2022, with scores of 165-164, 141-140, and 134-130—each decided by a single run or less. The fourth was a 228-128 victory in the CWC Challenge League A. Singapore's only win in that period came on 28 July 2022, a 244-213 victory in the same competition.
The model expects Qatar to score 163.9 runs and Singapore 146.9. That is a difference of 17 runs, which suggests a comfortable victory rather than a close contest. The probability of a draw sits at 0%, and both teams scoring is also rated at 0%.
This conclusion stops holding if Singapore's batting performs significantly above their recent form. They have lost five straight matches, but their narrowest defeat in that run was by one run against Uganda. If they can contain Qatar's top order and exploit any weaknesses in the middle order, the gap closes. A draw would suit neither side given the tournament context, but Singapore have shown they can stay competitive in tight situations.