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United States of America vs Namibia: match prediction on 13 October 2026
United States of America
Namibia
Prediction for
Win: United States of America
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
59%
1
41%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 16:05- США — 2. place, 43 points after 31 games (21 wins, 10 losses)
- Намибия — 5. place, 28 points after 30 games (13 wins, 17 losses)
- США, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Намибия, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 11 games, США — 10, Намибия — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
United States of America
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Namibia
LLLWW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 15
10United States of America
0Draw
5Namibia
- 7 OctUnited States of America — Namibia299/6:298/9
- 15 FebNamibia — United States of America168/6:199/4
- 14 Feb 2025Namibia — United States of America198:268/9
- 8 Feb 2025Namibia — United States of America179:293/8
- 5 Oct 2024Namibia — United States of America120/9:124/4
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 16:05# USA to Win Again in Tight Contest
The United States of America are favourites to beat Namibia on 13 October. They sit second in the table with 43 points from 31 matches, while the visitors are fifth on 28 points after 30 games. The Americans have won 10 of the last 11 meetings, including a one-run victory in the most recent encounter on 7 October.
USA's recent run has been strong. They have won four of their last five matches, losing only to the Netherlands in June. Their latest result was a 214:213 victory over the United Arab Emirates at home. Namibia's form has been poor in comparison. They have lost four of their last five games, with their only win coming against the United Arab Emirates 135:134. Three of those defeats came against South Africa, with margins of 1, 157 and 186 runs respectively.
The head-to-head record tells a clear story. They won 199:168 in Namibia in February. Tight finishes, with USA pulling ahead.
The model expects USA to score around 220 runs and Namibia roughly 204. That suggests a contest decided by runs rather than wickets. The probability of a draw is 0%. The expectation is for USA to edge the total by roughly 16 runs, which aligns with their recent pattern of narrow victories.
Namibia can replicate the intensity they showed against the United Arab Emirates. Their 135:134 win was a one-run victory, showing they are capable of tight finishes. If they can bowl USA out for under 200 and chase successfully, the prediction changes. The Americans are not invincible — they lost to the Netherlands 196:175 in June, and their recent win over UAE was also by a single run.
The league position matters for motivation. USA are second and looking to maintain their standing. Namibia are fifth and likely need points to push for a higher finish. That could change how they approach the game — more aggressive batting, riskier bowling. The Americans will want to control the match, while Namibia may need to attack from the start.
The match is scheduled for 15:00 UTC on 13 October.