Yorkshire Women vs Somerset Women: match prediction on 3 September 2026

Somerset Women to win — 70% confidence

Somerset Women carry an 11-point advantage over Yorkshire Women in the Women's One-Day Cup table and have won two of their three meetings in the past year. Yorkshire sit eighth with 16 points from 11 matches, while Somerset occupy third place with 27 points from 12. The gap in experience shows: Somerset have played one more fixture and converted that into a clear buffer in the standings.

Recent form puts Somerset ahead as well. They have won three of their last five matches, compared to Yorkshire's two victories from the same number of games. Somerset's most recent outing saw them edge Durham 251 to 248 at home, while Yorkshire suffered a one-run defeat to Surrey on the same day. The pattern suggests Somerset handle tight finishes better.

The head-to-head record over the past year gives Somerset the edge. They won 179 to 178 in April's One-Day Cup encounter and 177 to 138 in May's Vitality Blast match. Yorkshire responded with a 210 to 199 home victory in July, but the overall balance favours the visitors. Somerset have taken two wins from three meetings.

The model projects Yorkshire to score 219.7 runs and Somerset 163.7, but those figures describe average outputs across many simulated versions of the match rather than a direct prediction. In cricket terms, the team batting second wins by exceeding the first team's total, so the expected runs alone do not determine the outcome. What matters is which side performs closer to their expectation on the day.

Somerset's league position and recent results suggest they will come closer to their projected total. Yorkshire's eight defeats from 11 matches indicate inconsistency that could see them fall short. A Somerset win is the most likely result.

Yorkshire win only if they bat above 219.7 and Somerset chase below 163.7 — neither scenario fits their recent form.