Zabbar St. Patrick

Match report

Birkirkara beat Zabbar St Patrick 2:0 in the Premier League's sixth round of matches on Thursday, with the visitors taking all three points despite a tough away fixture. The result sees them move up to seventh in the table, while the hosts remain in tenth place after another defeat. It was a goal from F. Sasere that broke the deadlock, and here's the thing — it came from the penalty spot in the forty-third minute. Zabbar had been pushing forward, but Birkirkara's defence held firm until that moment when the visiting striker made his case. The hosts thought they had equalised late on, but Pablo Gabriel's effort in ninety-one minutes was enough to settle it. There were four yellow cards in total, with S. Jovancic and Jefferson Vinicius among those cautioned for Zabbar. The visitors managed three substitutions in the second half alone, bringing on Amarildo and Z. Leonardi among others as they looked to see out the result. By then the game had settled into a rhythm that favoured whoever was more clinical. The statistics tell a story that doesn't quite match the scoreline. Zabbar controlled 54 per cent of possession and launched 111 attacks, yet managed just one shot on target from six attempts. Birkirkara had less time on the ball but were more efficient, registering five shots on target from thirteen attempts. To be fair, that's how these games often go — possession means little if you're not creating clear chances. What this means for the league standings is straightforward. Birkirkara now sit on seven points from five matches, their second win of the campaign. Zabbar have five points and remain searching for consistency, having drawn two and lost two of their first five fixtures. Our forecast had given the home side a 44 per cent chance of victory, but the match took a different path altogether. It wasn't that Zabbar played poorly — they had the ball and the territory — but they couldn't find the cutting edge when it mattered most. Sometimes that's all it takes for a prediction to unravel.

Prepared from match data

Key numbers

Possession, % 54 – 46

Shots on target 1 – 5

Shots off target 5 – 8

Attacks 111 – 86

🟨 41' S. Jovancic — Yellow card ⚽ 43' F. Sasere — Penalty ⇄ 46' Joao Mafra — Substitution ⇄ 46' M. Fontanella — Substitution ⇄ 46' Fernandinho — Substitution 🟨 75' Jefferson Vinicius — Yellow card ⇄ 79' Jefferson Vinicius — Substitution ⇄ 79' Amarildo — Substitution ⇄ 79' Z. Leonardi — Substitution 🟨 83' Frazan — Yellow card 🟨 90' T. Moriceau — Yellow card ⇄ 90' P. F. Gouhon — Substitution ⚽ 90+1' Pablo Gabriel — Goal ⇄ 90+8' S. Magri — Substitution

Match events

41' 0:0 Zabbar St. Patrick Yellow card S. Jovancic
43' 0:1 Birkirkara FC Penalty F. Sasere
46' 0:1 Zabbar St. Patrick Substitution Joao Mafra off: N. Lancioni
46' 0:1 Zabbar St. Patrick Substitution M. Fontanella off: T. Melillo
46' 0:1 Birkirkara FC Substitution Fernandinho off: A. Djordjevic
75' 0:1 Birkirkara FC Yellow card Jefferson Vinicius
79' 0:1 Birkirkara FC Substitution Jefferson Vinicius off: Kadu
79' 0:1 Birkirkara FC Substitution Amarildo off: L. Pahama
79' 0:1 Zabbar St. Patrick Substitution Z. Leonardi off: T. Moriceau
83' 0:1 Birkirkara FC Yellow card Frazan
90' 0:1 Zabbar St. Patrick Yellow card T. Moriceau
90' 0:1 Zabbar St. Patrick Substitution P. F. Gouhon off: A. Agyeman
90+1' 0:2 Birkirkara FC Goal Pablo Gabriel
90+8' 0:2 Zabbar St. Patrick Substitution S. Magri off: K. Fenech

Statistics

54 Possession, % 46

1 Shots on target 5

5 Shots off target 8

111 Attacks 86

4 Corners 5

1 Free kicks 0

0 Offsides 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

0 Goal kicks 1

4 Throw-ins 0

Match prediction: Zabbar St. Patrick — Birkirkara FC

Win: Zabbar St. Patrick

Confidence 44%

Reasoning

Заббар Сент-Патрик — 10. place, 4 points after 4 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses)
Биркиркара — 7. place, 7 points after 5 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses)
Заббар Сент-Патрик, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
Биркиркара, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
Head-to-head: 7 games, Заббар Сент-Патрик — 1, Биркиркара — 6

Full prediction

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+

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