MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
San Juan Knights
Prediction for Bulacan Kuyas — San Juan Knights
67%
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Al Ula vs Al-Raed: match prediction on 2 September 2026
Al Ula
Al-Raed
Prediction for
Win: Al Ula
44%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
59%
1
23%
X
18%
2
Average bookmaker line (33)
1.53
1
3.93
X
5.02
2
Odds range
1.48 — 1.57
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:42- Аль-Ула — 2. place, 6 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
- Аль-Раед — 5. place, 3 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Аль-Ула, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Аль-Раед, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Аль-Ула — 1, Аль-Раед — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Al Ula
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Al-Raed
WLWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 2
1Al Ula
0Draw
1Al-Raed
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
33
bookmakers counted
1.53
Average bookmaker line
1.48 — 1.57
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:42Al Ula to win. The hosts are unbeaten in two league games with two victories, while Al-Raed have dropped points in one of their two matches and lost their last league outing 2-3 at home to Hajer. The model puts Al Ula ahead 1.6 to 1.3 in expected goals, and the most probable scoreline is 2-1 at 9%.
Al Ula opened the season with wins against Al Anwar 1-0 away and Al Jabalain 3-1 at home, giving them six points from two matches. Their recent five games show three wins and two losses, with goals going 9-7 in their favour. They have not drawn any of their last five matches, which suggests a willingness to take risks rather than settle.
Al-Raed's start has been uneven. They beat Al Orubah 1-0 away but lost 2-3 at home to Hajer in their most recent league game. Their last five matches yield two wins, one draw and two losses, with 10 goals scored and 8 conceded. They are seventh after two matches, three points behind Al Ula. The loss to Hajer came at home, where they had previously beaten Abha 5-1 in May.
The head-to-head record shows two meetings with one win apiece. Al Ula won 2-1 at home on 02.05.2026, while Al-Raed took a 3-2 victory at their own ground on 07.01.2026. Al Ula's recent form at home, combined with Al-Raed's away vulnerability, gives the hosts the edge.
Al Ula have scored 24% of their goals in the final 15 minutes of each half and 21% in the 61-75 minute period. They have also conceded 29% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, which means they can be vulnerable late on. Al-Raed have conceded 33% of their goals in the same period.
A 1-1 draw is the most likely outcome at 11%, followed by 2-1 for Al Ula at 9% and 1-0 at 8%. Both teams to score sits at 59%, and there is a 57% chance of three or more goals.
Al-Raed protect their lead after going ahead. They have shown they can score, with 25% of their goals coming in both the 31-45 and 61-75 minute periods. If they sit deep and counter effectively, the match could end 1-1, which the model rates as the most likely result. A draw suits Al-Raed's away profile, and given their tendency to concede late, that is the main threat to an Al Ula win.