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Al Ula vs Jeddah Club: match prediction on 14 September 2026
Al Ula
Jeddah Club
Prediction for
Win: Al Ula
71%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
71%
1
18%
X
11%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 17:13- Аль-Ула — 1. place, 12 points after 4 games (4 wins, 0 losses)
- Джидда — 2. place, 8 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Аль-Ула, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Джидда, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Аль-Ула — 1, 1 draws, Джидда — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Al Ula
WWWWW
5 wins
Jeddah Club
WDDLL
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Head to head 2
1Al Ula
1Draw
0Jeddah Club
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 17:13Al Ula to win. The hosts have not lost in any competition over their last five matches, scoring ten goals and conceding just one, while the model expects them to produce 2.1 goals against a Jeddah side that has managed only 0.7.
The pattern holds. Al Ula sit top of the First Division League with twelve points from four games, all victories. They came through Damac 1:0 away, beat Al-Raed 2:0 at home, and saw off Al Anwar 1:0 on the road. Their defensive record is stark: one goal conceded across those five fixtures. Jeddah Club, meanwhile, have drawn twice and lost once in the same period, including a heavy 0:5 defeat to Al Kholood in the King's Cup.
Al Ula won 4:0 at Jeddah Club in March and drew 1:1 at home in November. Two meetings, one win each side, but the margin of victory matters. Jeddah have created no big chances on average over their last ten matches, while Al Ula average 3.
Twelve points versus eight after four rounds is a four-point gap that reflects Al Ula's consistency. They have not dropped points anywhere. Jeddah have not lost in league play but two draws against Al Orubah and Al Jeel show they can struggle to close out games. Their away form is particularly concerning: they drew 0:0 at Al Jeel and lost 3:0 at Hajer.
When the prediction breaks
A draw suits the visitors in this scenario. Jeddah have three players with red cards in the last three weeks—F. Usman, R. Fallatah, R. Matmi—which could disrupt their defensive structure if any face suspension. The model puts the draw probability at 18%, but if Jeddah manage to slow the game and protect a narrow deficit, that figure becomes relevant. Al Ula score heavily between 31-45 minutes (28%) and 76-90 minutes (25%), so if Jeddah can weather that storm, the outcome shifts.
The most likely scoreline is 2:0 at 14%, followed by 1:0 at 13%. BTTS sits at 44%. A clean sheet remains the most likely outcome. Fourteen percent is not a certainty, but it is the highest probability available, and it points to a clean-sheet victory for the hosts.