Be'sat Kermanshah vs Naft Bandar Abbas: match prediction on 5 October 2026

A draw is the most likely outcome, and the model puts that at 42%. Be'sat Kermanshah and Naft Bandar Abbas have met four times in recent years, producing two draws and two victories for the visitors. Be'sat sit seventh with four points after three matches, Naft fifth with five. The gap between them is one point, and the statistics point to a stalemate rather than a decisive result.

Be'sat's recent record shows inconsistency. They have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five games, accumulating just four points and scoring four goals while conceding six. Their attacking pattern is concentrated early: 43% of their goals arrive in the first 15 minutes, with another 29% between the 16th and 30th minute. After that, production drops sharply, with no goals in the 31-45 or 61-75 segments. Their defensive vulnerability follows a different curve. They concede 38% of their goals in the final 15 minutes and 25% between the 31st and 45th minute.

Naft Bandar Abbas have been more consistent. Two wins, two draws and one defeat in five matches gives them eight points, with five goals scored and only two conceded. They are unbeaten in the league so far, sitting on five points after three fixtures. The visitors have not lost a game since their 1:0 defeat at Saipa on 16 July.

The most recent encounter ended 3:0 to Naft at their own ground, while the previous two matches at Be'sat's stadium finished 1:1. The model's expected goals reflect this pattern: 0.6 for the hosts, 0.7 for the visitors. The three most probable scorelines are 0:0 at 28%, 0:1 at 17% and 1:0 at 15%. Together, these account for 60% of outcomes, and the draw alone covers more than a quarter. The model predicts a draw with 42% confidence.