Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers: match prediction on 28 August 2026

Bohemians win at 1.30. The gap between third and tenth in the Premier Division is wide enough that a home victory is the natural reading, and the market has priced it accordingly with no movement in 24 hours. The model expects 2 goals for Bohemians and 0.9 for Sligo Rovers, which points to a clean sheet at least once in the match.

Standings and motivation

Bohemians sit on 47 points after 28 matches with a record of 13 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. Sligo Rovers are on 23 points with 5 wins, 8 draws and 15 losses — a 24-point deficit that makes this a straightforward fixture on paper. European qualification implications for Bohemians and relegation concerns for Sligo Rovers are not confirmed in the available data.

Recent form

Bohemians have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches with 2 wins and 3 losses, scoring 12 goals and conceding 11. Their most recent outing was a 5:3 victory over Derry City at home on 21 August. Sligo Rovers also collected 6 points from 5 games but with a different pattern — 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss. They scored 7 goals and conceded 5, with a 0:0 draw against Waterford on 21 August being their latest result.

Head-to-head record

Over the last 17 meetings Bohemians have won 10 times, Sligo Rovers 4 times, with 3 draws. Before that, Sligo Rovers won 2:1 at home on 10 April 2026.

Model and market alignment

The model expects Bohemians to score 2 goals and Sligo Rovers 0.9, giving a 21% probability for a draw and 50% that both teams find the net. The three most likely scores are 1:0 at 11%, 2:0 at 11% and 1:1 at 10%. The market offers the same picture — Bohemians at 1.30, draw at 5.20, Sligo Rovers at 8.18, with no movement since opening. Thirty-eight bookmakers have priced this match identically across two snapshots taken on 28 August.