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Cerro Porteño vs 2 de Mayo: match prediction on 5 October 2026
Cerro Porteño
2 de Mayo
Prediction for
Win: Cerro Porteño
51%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
51%
1
30%
X
19%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 4 Oct, 23:25- Серро Портеньо — 8. place, 17 points after 12 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses)
- 2-го мая — 4. place, 22 points after 12 games (6 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses)
- Серро Портеньо, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- 2-го мая, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 11 games, Серро Портеньо — 3, 5 draws, 2-го мая — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Cerro Porteño
WDWLW
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
2 de Mayo
WLLLD
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Head to head 11
3Cerro Porteño
5Draw
32 de Mayo
- 28 Jul2 de Mayo — Cerro Porteño2:1
- 5 AprCerro Porteño — 2 de Mayo3:0
- 7 Feb2 de Mayo — Cerro Porteño0:0
- 11 Oct 20252 de Mayo — Cerro Porteño0:0
- 30 Jul 2025Cerro Porteño — 2 de Mayo3:2
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 4 Oct, 23:25Form and momentum
Cerro Porteño secured a 1-0 victory, ending a run of mixed results for both sides. Cerro Porteño had won three, drawn one and lost one of their previous five fixtures, collecting ten points and scoring six goals. 2 de Mayo had won one, drawn one and lost three in the same window, gathering four points and conceding twelve.
Head-to-head records showed a balanced history. In the last eleven meetings Cerro Porteño had won three, 2 de Mayo had won three and five matches had ended in draws. The most recent encounter, on 28 July 2026, had gone to 2 de Mayo 2-1, while Cerro Porteño had won 3-0 at home in April 2026.
Looking at the season's performance data, Cerro Porteño had scored 41 goals and conceded 30, while 2 de Mayo had scored 41 and conceded 50. Cerro Porteño's scoring was most concentrated in the first fifteen minutes, accounting for 27 per cent of their total, whereas 2 de Mayo's 27 per cent came in the final fifteen minutes. 2 de Mayo conceded 36 per cent of their goals in the closing stages of matches.
Average statistics from the last ten matches showed both teams had similar possession levels, with Cerro Porteño on 53 per cent and 2 de Mayo on 52 per cent. 2 de Mayo had averaged 3.9 shots on target per game compared to Cerro Porteño's 2.8, while Cerro Porteño averaged 100.5 attacks against 2 de Mayo's 106.
Key players and discipline
Cerro Porteño's leading scorer over the last six months was Vegetti with nine goals. Jorge Emanuel Morel Barrios had four goals but was one booking away from a suspension. For 2 de Mayo, Cáceres had five goals and had already seen a red card, alongside Óscar Romero with three goals and one red card.
2 de Mayo had four players with red cards on their record since the start of the season.
Standings impact
The outcome left 2 de Mayo in fourth place with 22 points (6 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). Cerro Porteño moved into eighth place with 17 points (5 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses). The result marked a continuation of Cerro Porteño's improvement following a loss to Sportivo Trinidense in their previous league outing.