Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Chrobry Głogów
Ruch Chorzów
Prediction for
Win: Chrobry Głogów
43%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Average bookmaker line (47)
Odds range
2.63 — 3.10
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 6
Bookmaker market
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 16:17Chrobry Głogów arrive with momentum. Their last five matches produced three wins, one draw and a single defeat, yielding 10 points and a goal difference of 9:4. They opened with a 5:1 victory away at Stal Rzeszów, then suffered a home loss to Odra Opole before stringing together two away wins against ŁKS Łódź and Warta Poznań. The 0:1 home defeat shows vulnerability when expectations are high.
Ruch Chorzów's form is less convincing. Two wins, one draw and two losses from their last five games have earned them just 7 points, with 3 goals scored and 5 conceded. The visitors' inability to score consistently is the concern.
The head-to-head record favours Ruch Chorzów. In five meetings since July 2022, Ruch have won three times while Chrobry have never triumphed, with two draws. The most recent encounter ended 1:1 in April 2026, but the pattern includes a 5:0 hammering of Chrobry in November 2024 and a 2:1 win for Ruch in September 2025.
Both sides sit on 7 points after five matches, with identical records of two wins, one draw and two losses. Chrobry occupy 9th place while Ruch trail in 11th, a gap created by goal difference rather than points. This match could shift the hierarchy.
Chrobry Głogów to score 1.4 goals and Ruch Chorzów 1.2, with a 26% probability of a draw and 53% chance both teams find the net. The most likely scoreline is 1:1 at 12%, followed by 1:0 for Chrobry at 11% and 2:1 at 9%. Chrobry's attacking distribution shows 25% of goals in each of the 16-30, 31-45 and 76-90 minute periods, with none in the 61-75 window. Ruch's scoring peaks in the 61-75 period at 27%, which aligns with Chrobry's defensive vulnerability—36% of their goals conceded arrive in the 46-60 minute segment.
Ruch exploit Chrobry's late-game weakness. The hosts score a quarter of their goals in the final 15 minutes but do not concede either in that period, suggesting they defend well when tired. If Ruch maintain pressure through the 61-75 window where they score 27% of their goals and Chrobry have shown no scoring output, the visitors could snatch a result.