Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Columbus Crew II vs Chicago FC United: match prediction on 30 August 2026
Columbus Crew II
Chicago FC United
Prediction for
Win: Columbus Crew II
42%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
34%
1
25%
X
41%
2
Average bookmaker line (43)
2.66
1
3.68
X
2.18
2
Odds range
2.38 — 2.75
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:40- Колумбус Крю II — 6. place, 42 points after 23 games (15 wins, 8 losses)
- Чикаго Юнайтед — 4. place, 39 points after 24 games (13 wins, 11 losses)
- Колумбус Крю II, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Чикаго Юнайтед, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 10 games, Колумбус Крю II — 2, 2 draws, Чикаго Юнайтед — 6
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Columbus Crew II
WLLDD
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Chicago FC United
WLLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 12
4Columbus Crew II
2Draw
6Chicago FC United
- 5 Oct 2025Columbus Crew II — Chicago FC United3:3
- 3 Aug 2025Chicago FC United — Columbus Crew II6:1
- 1 Jun 2025Chicago FC United — Columbus Crew II5:0
- 29 Sep 2024Columbus Crew II — Chicago FC United0:1
- 22 Jun 2024Columbus Crew II — Chicago FC United1:1
Bookmaker market
43
bookmakers counted
2.66
Average bookmaker line
2.38 — 2.75
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:40Chicago FC United come into this fixture as the market's clear favourite at 2.24, and the odds have not budged since they opened on 29 August. The bookmakers see a 40% chance of victory for the visitors, compared with 35% for Columbus Crew II and 25% for a draw. I back the away side to edge a high-scoring encounter, with the model pointing to a 2:1 result at 7% probability.
The table tells a story of misalignment between position and points. Columbus Crew II occupy sixth spot with 42 points from 23 matches, while Chicago FC United sit fourth on 39 points from 24 games. The visitors have played one more fixture but trail by three points. That gap matters less than the quality of results: Chicago have won 13 of their 24 games, Columbus 15 of 23. Both sides carry identical win rates of roughly 65%.
Recent form favours the visitors. Chicago FC United have taken nine points from their last five matches, winning three and losing two. Columbus Crew II managed only six points from five games, with two victories and three defeats. The away side's most recent outing ended in a 3:1 win over Fort Lauderdale CF at home, while Columbus lost 1:0 away to Huntsville City on 23 August. Chicago's attack looks sharper, averaging 8 shots on target per game compared with Columbus's 6.1.
The head-to-head record cuts heavily in Chicago's favour. In ten meetings over the past two years, the visitors have won six, Columbus two, and two have ended level. The most recent encounter produced a 3:3 draw at Columbus's ground in October 2025, but before that Chicago won 6:1 and 5:0 at home. The visitors have dominated this rivalry.
The model expects Columbus Crew II to score 2.2 goals and Chicago FC United 2.1, suggesting a tightly contested affair with both sides finding the net at 79% probability. Eighty-one percent of simulated matches produce three or more goals, with the most likely outcomes clustering around 2:2, 2:1, and 1:2. Columbus score heavily in the final 15 minutes of matches, accounting for 42% of their 52 goals, while Chicago have conceded 44% of their 9 goals in the 31-45 minute period. The visitors' defensive vulnerability in the first half could provide an opening, but their attacking output of 105 attacks per game suggests they will press forward regardless.
Odds: 2.24