Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Colwyn Bay
Llandudno
Prediction for
Win: Colwyn Bay
39%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Average bookmaker line (45)
Odds range
2.00 — 2.35
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 6
Bookmaker market
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 17:26Colwyn Bay to win, confidence 39%. The model expects 1.5 goals for the hosts and 1.4 for Llandudno, which points to a tight contest decided by a single strike. Colwyn Bay occupy tenth with seven points, yet their record against these opponents suggests the gap in the table does not translate to the pitch.
The hosts' recent form shows two wins, one draw and two losses across five matches, yielding six goals scored and ten conceded. They beat Airbus UK 1:0 at home on 21.08.2026 and Trefelin 2:0 on 31.07.2026, but lost 1:5 away to The New Saints on 28.08.2026 and 0:3 away to Caernarfon Town on 15.08.2026. Colwyn Bay scored 29% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minute and 24% after the 76th minute, while conceding 30% of their goals in the final quarter of an hour.
Llandudno have won four of their last five league matches, losing only 1:2 away to Penybont on 21.08.2026. They scored 13 goals and conceded five during that run, with wins including 2:0 against Haverfordwest County AFC at home on 28.08.2026, 3:1 against Holywell on 14.08.2026, 4:0 away to Trefelin on 07.08.2026 and 3:2 against Flint Town United on 31.07.2026. The visitors score 37% of their goals after the 76th minute and concede 38% between the 31st and 45th minute, suggesting they start cautiously and finish strongly.
Three meetings in recent years produced one Colwyn Bay victory, two draws and zero wins for Llandudno. The most recent was a 3:0 win for the hosts on 05.04.2025 in the FAW Championship. Before that came a 1:1 draw on 16.08.2024 and another 1:1 on 15.04.2023. The model's expected goals of 1.5 for Colwyn Bay and 1.4 for Llandudno align with a 1:1 probability of 11% and a 2:1 probability of 9%. Both teams to score is expected at 59%, with over three goals at 56%.
A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If Llandudno score early and shift to a defensive approach, the hosts' tendency to concede late becomes less relevant. The argument weakens if Colwyn Bay fail to capitalise on their home advantage against a side that has dominated possession at 67% in recent matches.