Coquimbo Unido vs Huachipato: match prediction on 16 September 2026

Coquimbo to win

Coquimbo Unido sit ninth with 26 points after 19 games, while Huachipato trail in twelfth with 24 points from 20 matches. The visitors have lost four of their last five outings and have not won in that span. Coquimbo have drawn four of their last five but remain unbeaten. The model expects Coquimbo to score 1.8 goals and Huachipato 0.8. Coquimbo win is the pick.

Coquimbo have won five of the last 11 meetings, with four draws and two victories for Huachipato. In the last six encounters, Coquimbo have taken three wins and three draws, remaining unbeaten. Huachipato have struggled to find an answer in these fixtures.

Coquimbo have not won in five matches but have kept four clean sheets in terms of not losing. Huachipato have conceded 17 goals in their last five games, averaging 3.4 per match. The visitors have lost four of those five matches. Coquimbo score 41% of their goals after the 75th minute, while Huachipato have conceded a third of their goals in the 31st to 45th minute. The visitors are vulnerable late in games, conceding 17% in the final quarter.

The probability of a draw is 23%, while both teams to score sits at 47%. Three or more goals are expected in 49% of simulations. The most likely scorelines are 1:0 at 13%, 2:0 at 12%, and 1:1 at 11%.

A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. Huachipato have shown they can grind out results when under pressure, as seen in their 3:3 draw with Cobresal. If they score early, they can protect the lead. Huachipato win only if they break the deadlock early.