Daejeon Hana Citizen vs FC Anyang: match prediction on 9 September 2026

Daejeon Hana Citizen win at 1.58

I see Daejeon Hana Citizen to beat FC Anyang at 1.58, a price backed by 46 bookmakers and the model's 58% probability. The home side has taken 12 points from their last five matches while FC Anyang have managed only seven, and the visitors arrive with two first-choice players suspended after red cards. That is not a narrow margin to overcome.

Recent form

Daejeon Hana Citizen's recent run reads 4 wins and 1 defeat, with 14 goals scored and 6 conceded across those fixtures. They opened with a 5:0 victory away at Bucheon FC 1995 on 5 September before a 1:3 loss to Jeju United FC, then followed with three consecutive wins at home against Ulsan Hyundai FC and Gangwon FC, plus an away triumph over Asan Mugunghwa FC in the FA Cup. FC Anyang have struggled in comparison — 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last five, scoring just 5 goals while conceding 13, including a 0:7 hammering by FC Seoul on 22 August.

FC Anyang without two key men

FC FC Anyang are missing Chang-Yong Lee and Jung-Hyun Kim, both suspended after picking up red cards in previous matches. Jin-Yong Lee sits on four yellow cards and is one booking away from a ban. Anyang already have a leaky defence on paper — they have conceded 35 goals this season, with 29% coming in the 31–45 minute period and 23% after the 75th minute. Daejeon exploit the late stages themselves, scoring 39% of their 31 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Head-to-head and model projections

In their last six meetings Daejeon Hana Citizen have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1, including a 2:1 victory at FC Anyang on 8 August this season. The model expects Daejeon to score 1.9 goals and Anyang 1.1, with the most likely scorelines being 1:1, 2:1 and 1:0 — each at 10%. A draw carries only 22% probability while both teams scoring sits at 56%. The market agrees with the home side, pricing a Daejeon win at 1.58 and valuing an Anyang victory at 5.06.

When this breaks down

A draw suits the visitors if FC Anyang can manage the game and absorb pressure, but they have conceded a third of their goals in the closing quarter of an hour and lack the personnel to sustain that discipline. The prediction stops holding if Anyang score early and park the bus effectively, or if Daejeon's defensive frailties — 31% of goals conceded in the 31–45 minute period — are punished before the hosts find their rhythm.