Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Deportes Limache vs Ñublense: match prediction on 3 September 2026
Deportes Limache
Ñublense
Prediction for
Win: Deportes Limache
42%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
39%
1
27%
X
34%
2
Average bookmaker line (51)
2.36
1
3.39
X
2.71
2
Odds range
2.22 — 2.50
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 01:42- Депортес Лимахе — 8. place, 27 points after 20 games (8 wins, 3 draws, 9 losses)
- Нюбленсе — 6. place, 32 points after 20 games (8 wins, 8 draws, 4 losses)
- Депортес Лимахе, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Нюбленсе, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Депортес Лимахе — 0, 2 draws, Нюбленсе — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Deportes Limache
LWLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Ñublense
WWLLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 3
0Deportes Limache
2Draw
1Ñublense
- 8 FebÑublense — Deportes Limache1:1
- 26 Jul 2025Deportes Limache — Ñublense0:1
- 22 Feb 2025Ñublense — Deportes Limache1:1
Bookmaker market
51
bookmakers counted
2.36
Average bookmaker line
2.22 — 2.50
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 01:42Ñublense to edge the encounter
I see Ñublense taking all three points at odds of 2.71. The away side has seen their price drop from 2.84 to 2.72 over the last day, while the home side's odds have drifted from 2.25 to 2.36. Ñublense's superior recent form and the fact they have never lost here in three meetings explain this shift.
The visitors sit six points clear in the table and have been the more consistent side. Their last five matches brought three wins, a draw and only one defeat, yielding ten points from a possible fifteen. Deportes Limache managed just six points from the same run — two victories and three losses — including a heavy 0:3 home defeat to Everton de Vina on 29 August. The hosts have scored eight goals in those five games but conceded eleven, a defensive vulnerability that Ñublense's away record suggests they will exploit.
History favours the visitors
The head-to-head record tells a straightforward story. In three meetings since February 2025, Deportes Limache have won zero times, drawn twice and lost once. The most recent encounter ended 1:1 in Santiago on 8 February, but before that Ñublense claimed a 1:0 victory in July 2025. Ñublense have won two of the last three meetings, demonstrating their ability to control these fixtures.
The statistical model projects a tight affair, with Deportes Limache expected to score 1.4 goals and Ñublense 1.1. However, the market has already moved away from the hosts, and the draw probability of 27 per cent does not outweigh the visitors' momentum. Ñublense's attacking distribution shows they score 38 per cent of their goals in the final 15 minutes — a late surge that could prove decisive.
This conclusion stops holding if Deportes Limache find a way to contain Ñublense's late pressure and turn their own defensive frailties into something more resilient. The hosts concede 35 per cent of their goals after the 75th minute, and if they can shift that pattern, the visitors' advantage evaporates. A draw would also undermine the prediction — and given how Ñublense run the clock down in away games, that remains the main threat.