Champions League
Kolstad
HC Kriens-Luzern
Prediction for Kolstad — HC Kriens-Luzern
57%
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Deportivo Riestra vs Lanús: match prediction on 14 September 2026
Deportivo Riestra
Lanús
Prediction for
Win: Deportivo Riestra
39%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
39%
1
37%
X
24%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 23:13- Рестра — 15. place, 11 points after 16 games (1 wins, 8 draws, 7 losses)
- Ланус — 6. place, 24 points after 16 games (6 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses)
- Рестра, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 draws, 0 losses
- Ланус, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Рестра — 3, 1 draws, Ланус — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Deportivo Riestra
DDDLD
4 draws · 1 loss
Lanús
DLWWW
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Head to head 4
3Deportivo Riestra
1Draw
0Lanús
- 2 MayLanús — Deportivo Riestra0:0
- 14 Jul 2025Deportivo Riestra — Lanús1:0
- 24 Jan 2025Lanús — Deportivo Riestra0:2
- 9 Aug 2024Deportivo Riestra — Lanús3:1
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 23:13Deportivo Riestra have not lost in five consecutive matches, Lanús sit 18 points above them in the table but have struggled away from home, and the model puts the probability of a stalemate at 37%. I see no reason to expect a different result unless the visitors find a way to control the game from the opening whistle.
55% confidence in a draw.
Riestra's run of five draws has kept them rooted to 15th place with just 11 points from 16 matches. They have scored four and conceded four in that span, with results of 1:1 against Banfield, Platense and Vélez Sarsfield, a 0:0 at Huracan and another 1:1 versus Gimnasia La Plata. The pattern is clear: they do not lose, but they rarely win either. Their goals come at the end of games—47% arrive in the final 15 minutes—and they concede at the same rate, with 51% of their goals against falling in that period.
Lanús occupy sixth place with 24 points after the same number of matches. Their last five results are more varied: a 1:0 win over Defensa y Justicia, a 0:1 defeat to Boca Juniors, a 1:1 draw with Argentinos Juniors, a 1:3 loss to Independiente and a 3:0 victory at Talleres Córdoba. They score more freely than Riestra, with 36% of their goals coming in the last 15 minutes and 25% between the 61st and 75th minute. They concede 39% of their goals in the closing stages as well, which suggests games can open up late.
The head-to-head record belongs to Riestra. In four meetings since August 2024 they have won twice and drawn twice, with no defeats. The most recent encounter ended 0:0 at Lanús in May 2026. Before that, Riestra won 1:0 at home in July 2025, 2:0 away in January 2025 and 3:1 at home in August 2024.
The model expects 0.8 goals for Riestra and 0.6 for Lanús. A 0:0 result carries 23% probability, a 1:0 win for the hosts 20%, and an away victory at 14%. Both teams to score stands at just 26%, and matches with three or more goals total 18%. The figures point to a tight, low-scoring affair where a single mistake could decide matters.
Outcome: Draw. Confidence: 55%