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Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Dobrudzha vs CSKA Sofia II: match prediction on 21 September 2026
Dobrudzha
CSKA Sofia II
Prediction for
Win: Dobrudzha
78%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
24%
1
26%
X
50%
2
Average bookmaker line (32)
3.68
1
3.50
X
1.79
2
Odds range
3.30 — 4.00
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 17:12- Добруджа — 17. place, 6 points after 9 games (1 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses)
- ЦСКА София II — 2. place, 17 points after 9 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses)
- Добруджа, last 5 games: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
- ЦСКА София II, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Добруджа — 2, ЦСКА София II — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Dobrudzha
LDLDL
2 draws · 3 losses
CSKA Sofia II
DLWLW
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 2
2Dobrudzha
0Draw
0CSKA Sofia II
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
32
bookmakers counted
3.68
Average bookmaker line
3.30 — 4.00
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 17:12MATCH PREVIEW: Dobrudzha VS CSKA Sofia II
PREDICTION: Dobrudzha WIN
Confidence: 78%
Odds: 3.68
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The model ignores the table. Dobrudzha sit 17th with just 6 points from 9 matches, while CSKA Sofia II occupy 4th place with 17 points. The bookmakers have priced the visitors' victory at 1.79, reflecting that gap in form and position. But the market has not accounted for two factors that matter more in this fixture: the head-to-head record and the timing of goals.
Dobrudzha have won both meetings this season. On 28 July they beat CSKA Sofia II 4-0 at home, and in December they overturned a deficit to win 3-1 away in Sofia. The visitors have failed to score in either encounter, while the hosts have netted seven goals across the pair. That pattern suggests a real edge, not a fluke.
The goal timing statistics back this up. Dobrudzha have conceded 58% of their goals after the 60th minute, while CSKA Sofia II have scored 53% of their goals in the same period. The visitors tend to open up late when chasing results, and Dobrudzha have shown they can punish that approach. Their model expects to score 2.4 goals in this match while limiting CSKA Sofia II to 0.6.
The line has barely moved since opening. The home win odds drifted from 3.80 to 3.68, a marginal shift that suggests limited money has come for the hosts. The market's implied probability for a Dobrudzha victory stands at 24%, while our estimate sits at 78%. That 54-point gap indicates the bookmakers are underrating the home side's chances.
This prediction stops holding if CSKA Sofia II take an early lead. Their recent record shows they can score heavily when conditions suit — four goals against Montana, five against Spartak Pleven. But those performances came against teams that did not possess the same ability to control tempo and exploit late defensive frailties.
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Final score prediction: Dobrudzha 2-0 CSKA Sofia II