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Dobrudzha vs Rilski Sportist Samokov: match prediction on 29 August 2026

Second League Druzhba Stadium Dobrich Miss Match page
Dobrudzha Rilski Sportist Samokov

Prediction for

Win: Dobrudzha

48%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

41% 1
29% X
30% 2

Average bookmaker line (27)

2.21 1
3.10 X
2.99 2

Odds range

2.17 — 2.25

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 27 Aug, 23:09

Dobrudzha to edge Rilski Sportist Samokov 1:0 in a Second League fixture where the model's expectation of 1.4 goals for the hosts against 0.9 for the visitors points to a tight contest decided by a single strike.

Dobrudzha's recent form has been difficult. They have won only once in five matches, that victory coming 5:1 against Pirin Blagoevgrad at home on 28 July. Since then they have lost three times and drawn once, including a heavy 2:4 defeat away to Marek on 23 August.

Rilski Sportist Samokov sit one place above Dobrudzha in the table with five points from five matches. Their most recent result was a 2:1 home victory over Montana on 22 August, but they have drawn twice and lost twice since the season started. They scored just five goals in those five games and conceded six.

The statistical model does not favour a high-scoring encounter. The probability of a draw stands at 28%, while the chance of both teams scoring is 43%. The three most likely scores are 1:0 at 15%, 1:1 at 13%, and 0:0 at 11%.

Dobrudzha to win 1:0. This conclusion would not hold if Rilski manage to score first, as their tendency to draw matches (two in five) suggests they can see out games defensively. A goal for the visitors in the opening 30 minutes would likely shift the balance toward a draw or away victory.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 27 Aug, 23:09
  • Добруджа — 17. place, 4 points after 5 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses)
  • Рилски Спортнист Самоков — 14. place, 5 points after 5 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses)
  • Добруджа, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Рилски Спортнист Самоков, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Dobrudzha LLDLD 2 draws · 3 losses
Rilski Sportist Samokov DWDWL 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

Bookmaker market

27 bookmakers counted
2.21 Average bookmaker line
2.17 — 2.25 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+