Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Rilski Sportist Samokov
Prediction for
Win: Dobrudzha
48%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Average bookmaker line (27)
Odds range
2.17 — 2.25
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 23:09Dobrudzha to edge Rilski Sportist Samokov 1:0 in a Second League fixture where the model's expectation of 1.4 goals for the hosts against 0.9 for the visitors points to a tight contest decided by a single strike.
Dobrudzha's recent form has been difficult. They have won only once in five matches, that victory coming 5:1 against Pirin Blagoevgrad at home on 28 July. Since then they have lost three times and drawn once, including a heavy 2:4 defeat away to Marek on 23 August.
Rilski Sportist Samokov sit one place above Dobrudzha in the table with five points from five matches. Their most recent result was a 2:1 home victory over Montana on 22 August, but they have drawn twice and lost twice since the season started. They scored just five goals in those five games and conceded six.
The statistical model does not favour a high-scoring encounter. The probability of a draw stands at 28%, while the chance of both teams scoring is 43%. The three most likely scores are 1:0 at 15%, 1:1 at 13%, and 0:0 at 11%.
Dobrudzha to win 1:0. This conclusion would not hold if Rilski manage to score first, as their tendency to draw matches (two in five) suggests they can see out games defensively. A goal for the visitors in the opening 30 minutes would likely shift the balance toward a draw or away victory.