Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Entebbe UPPC vs Lugazi: match prediction on 9 September 2026
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
Prediction for
Win: Entebbe UPPC
61%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
61%
1
28%
X
12%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 14:03- Энтеббе УППК — 3. place, 6 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
- Лугази — 10. place, 3 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Энтеббе УППК, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
- Лугази, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Энтеббе УППК — 1, 1 draws, Лугази — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Entebbe UPPC
DWWWL
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Lugazi
DLWLW
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 2
1Entebbe UPPC
1Draw
0Lugazi
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Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 14:03Entebbe UPPC to win. The hosts sit fourth with six points from two matches, unbeaten in their last five across all competitions, while Lugazi languish tenth on three points after a 1-3 defeat away to NEC. Entebbe are projected to score 1.4 goals to Lugazi's 0.4, and the most likely scoreline is 1:0 at 22%.
Entebbe's start to the campaign has been clean. Two victories, no losses, and their last five matches show three wins and two draws with eight goals scored against just two conceded. The 2-1 home win over UPDF on 1 September followed a 1-0 away victory at Vipers, and before that a 4-0 demolition of Bulengo at home. They have not lost since May.
Lugazi's form tells a different story. One win from five matches, two draws and two defeats, with only three goals scored and five conceded. Their most recent outing ended 3-1 away to NEC on 1 September, and before that they beat Kigezi Homeboyz 2-1 at home on 29 August. They have dropped points in three of their last five, including two goalless draws away to Express and Bulengo in May.
The head-to-head record over the last two meetings offers no clear pattern. Entebbe won 2-1 at home on 1 October 2025, then Lugazi held them to a 1-1 draw at their own ground in April 2026. Neither result was particularly dominant, but Entebbe's current position and recent form give them the edge on paper.
The model's figures point away from goals. Draw probability sits at 28%, both teams to score at 26%, and three or more goals at 27%. Beyond 1:0, the next most likely outcomes are 0:0 and 2:0, each at 16%. Entebbe score 60% of their goals in the 31-45 minute window, while Lugazi have found the net 50% of the time after 76 minutes — but that late tendency has not translated into results recently.
A draw suits Lugazi's approach. They tend to close games out, and if they can survive the opening half, they may look to hold the result. A stalemate would leave Entebbe without the win, and Lugazi's defensive resilience in draws has been consistent enough to make that a genuine possibility.