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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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United Nordic
Prediction for
Win: United Nordic
40%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 1
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 18:13United Nordic travel to face Örebro SK, carrying a 12-point cushion over their opponents and holding the superior record in their only meeting this season, a 2:0 victory in July. Örebro sit 14th in the table with 23 points after 23 matches, while United Nordic occupy 6th place on 35 points.
Örebro SK have collected 10 points from their last five games, winning three, drawing one and losing once. Their attacking profile shows 27% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minute, while United Nordic score 24% of their goals between 61-75 minutes.
United Nordic's recent form mirrors Örebro's with three wins and two losses from five matches, but they have scored 9 goals and conceded 9, a less stable defensive record. Their away results include a 2:1 victory at Östers IF on 4 September and a 2:1 win at IK Brage on 23 August. United Nordic score 24% of their goals between 61-75 minutes and 21% in the closing phase. They concede 33% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, which leaves them exposed in the final quarter.
The model backs over 1.5 goals per side, with a 24% probability of a draw and a 60% chance both teams find the net. The three most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 11%, 1:2 at 9% and 2:1 at 8%. Örebro SK have scored 33 goals and conceded 37 this season, while United Nordic have 38 goals for and 30 against. The visitors' defensive record is cleaner, but both sides show vulnerability in the final quarter of matches.
United Nordic's late-game caution makes a stalemate the real danger. If Örebro score early and control the tempo, or if United Nordic's defensive frailty in the closing minutes proves decisive, the away win collapses.