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Everton de Vina vs Universidad de Chile: match prediction on 25 September 2026

Copa Chile Estadio Sausalito Viña del Mar Pending Match page
Everton de Vina Universidad de Chile

Prediction for

Win: Universidad de Chile

41%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

30% 1
27% X
43% 2

Average bookmaker line (42)

3.01 1
3.43 X
2.12 2

Odds range

2.05 — 2.30

for outcome 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 01:48

Bookmakers opened with Universidad de Chile at 2.23 and adjusted their position throughout the day, dropping the price to 2.12 by 22:00 UTC on the day of the match. The movement indicated a 5.1 per cent decrease in the odds for the away side, while Everton’s price rose by 3.7 per cent.

Form and Head-to-Head

The victory extended a recent pattern for Universidad de Chile, who had won three of their previous five matches, scoring 12 goals while conceding seven. Everton de Vina entered the contest with a slightly richer record, claiming ten points from five games with ten goals scored. The two sides had met ten times in recent years, with Universidad de Chile holding a slight edge with four wins to Everton’s three, and three draws splitting the remainder. Their most recent league meeting ended in a goalless draw at the start of the year.

Statistical Context

Universidad de Chile averaged 60 per cent of the ball over their last ten matches, compared to Everton’s 49 per cent. The visitors also registered more attacks, averaging 104.4 to 94.33, and won more corners, 7.0 to 5.6. Despite these dominance figures, both sides were efficient with their shots on target, averaging 6.6 and 6.5 respectively. The model predicted 1.2 goals for each team, suggesting a tight game, but the statistical volume favoured the visitors.

Discipline and Outcome

Disciplinary records showed concern for both managers, with Nicolás Montiel and Marcelo Morales just one booking away from a suspension. The match statistics did not indicate any red cards or significant deviations from normal foul counts, which sat at 10.75 for Everton and 9.13 for Universidad de Chile.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 01:48
  • Средняя линия 38 букмекеров: победа Универсидад де Чили 2.23, победа Эвертон де Винья 2.90, ничья 3.23
  • Конторы расходятся в оценке: от 2.15 до 2.32 (8%)
  • Эвертон де Винья, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
  • Универсидад де Чили, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 10 games, Эвертон де Винья — 3, 3 draws, Универсидад де Чили — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Everton de Vina DWWLW 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Universidad de Chile WLLWW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 14

6Everton de Vina 4Draw 4Universidad de Chile
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

42 bookmakers counted
2.12 Average bookmaker line
2.05 — 2.30 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+