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FA Šiauliai II vs Be1 NFA: match prediction on 14 September 2026

1 Lyga Šiaulių Gytarių stadionas Šiauliai Pending Match page
FA Šiauliai II Be1 NFA

Prediction for

Win: Be1 NFA

61%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

19% 1
21% X
61% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 17:13

Be1 NFA will win this match. The visitors have won every one of the six meetings between these sides, and the model expects them to score more than double the goals of the hosts (2.1 to 1.1). That gap is too wide for FA Šiauliai II to bridge.

Be1 NFA sit third with 44 points from 22 matches, while FA Šiauliai II languish in 16th place with just 14 points from 23 games. The hosts have lost 15 times already this season. They have one more game played than Be1 NFA, which means they cannot catch up on points alone. The visitors are pushing for promotion or play-offs; the hosts are fighting relegation. Both have something to play for, but the quality difference shows in the standings. Be1 NFA have won all six encounters, the most recent being a 5:2 victory in May 2026, before that a 3:0 win in October 2025. FA Šiauliai II have never managed a single victory against them. The visitors have been dominant, and that pattern continues.

Form reinforces the picture. FA Šiauliai II have taken just four points from their last five matches — one win, one draw, three losses. They scored five goals and conceded 12. Be1 NFA have collected 12 points from five games, winning four and losing once. They scored 10 goals and let in only four. The hosts are struggling to find consistency. The visitors are clicking into rhythm.

The model expects Be1 NFA to score 2.1 goals on average and FA Šiauliai II 1.1. The most likely scorelines are 1:2 at 10 per cent, 1:1 at 10 per cent, and 0:2 at 9 per cent. Both teams to score sits at 57 per cent, while three or more goals total comes in at 61 per cent. A draw suits neither side — Be1 NFA need to attack to maintain their push, and that opens space for them to score.

The conclusion stops holding if FA Šiauliai II manage to keep a clean sheet and score first. A 1:0 result would flip the expected flow of the match, and the visitors have shown they can be vulnerable early on — 24 per cent of their goals conceded come in the opening 15 minutes. If Be1 NFA fail to break through in that window, the match could tighten.

FA Šiauliai II score most of their goals in the first half — 70 per cent before the break. Be1 NFA are more dangerous after 16 minutes, with 27 per cent of their goals coming between the 16th and 30th minute. The hosts also concede heavily in the middle periods — 22 per cent of their goals against arrive between the 61st and 75th minute. If Be1 NFA can exploit that mid-second-half dip, they should see out the result.

Be1 NFA have the form, the record, and the expected goals to win. FA Šiauliai II have not won here in seven years, and they have not won against Be1 NFA at all.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 17:13
  • Шауляй II — 16. place, 14 points after 23 games (3 wins, 5 draws, 15 losses)
  • БЭ1 НФА — 3. place, 44 points after 22 games (14 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses)
  • Шауляй II, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • БЭ1 НФА, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 7 games, Шауляй II — 1, БЭ1 НФА — 6

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

FA Šiauliai II DLWLL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Be1 NFA LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 9

1FA Šiauliai II 0Draw 8Be1 NFA
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+