Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor: match prediction on 2 September 2026
Fatih Karagümrük
Kayserispor
Prediction for
Win: Fatih Karagümrük
42%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
36%
1
28%
X
36%
2
Average bookmaker line (48)
2.50
1
3.25
X
2.53
2
Odds range
2.30 — 2.80
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02- Фатих Карагюмрюк — 7. place, 7 points after 4 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- Кайсериспор — 2. place, 9 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 losses)
- Фатих Карагюмрюк, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Кайсериспор, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Фатих Карагюмрюк — 3, 2 draws, Кайсериспор — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Fatih Karagümrük
WWDDL
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Kayserispor
WWLDW
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Head to head 10
5Fatih Karagümrük
3Draw
2Kayserispor
- 19 MarKayserispor — Fatih Karagümrük1:0
- 24 Oct 2025Fatih Karagümrük — Kayserispor2:2
- 4 May 2024Kayserispor — Fatih Karagümrük2:2
- 10 Jan 2024Fatih Karagümrük — Kayserispor4:1
- 30 May 2023Fatih Karagümrük — Kayserispor2:0
Bookmaker market
48
bookmakers counted
2.50
Average bookmaker line
2.30 — 2.80
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02Fatih Karagümrük to edge Kayserispor, 2-1, 60% confidence. The model projects 1.3 goals for the home side and 1.0 for the visitors, with 1:0 and 1:1 each priced at 13% probability. A narrow home victory fits the pattern of Fatih's home form and Kayserispor's vulnerability on the road.
The visitors sit second on nine points after four matches, three wins and one defeat. They have scored seven and conceded four across their last five outings, with the 0:2 win at Van BB and the 2:0 triumph over Sivasspor at home showing their capacity to control games.
Fatih Karagümrük occupy seventh place with seven points from four games. Their last five matches read three wins, one draw and one loss, accumulating ten points and a goal difference of one. Two of those victories came at home, both 2:1 results against Bursaspor and Ümraniyespor. The 0:2 loss away at 76 Iğdır Belediyespor on 9 August stands as their only defeat in that sequence.
Head-to-head history runs six matches, with Fatih Karagümrük winning three, drawing twice and Kayserispor taking one victory. The most recent meeting ended 1:0 to Kayserispor in March 2026. The 2:2 draw in October 2025 suggests the sides can produce open matches when they meet.
Fatih Karagümrük concede 26% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes, a period where they have been vulnerable. Kayserispor score 31% of their goals after the 75th minute, a pattern that could prove decisive if the match remains tight. The model's 28% draw probability and 45% both-teams-to-score figure point toward a contest where either side can take the lead.
A draw suits Kayserispor's approach of managing games and running down the clock. If Fatih Karagümrük fail to press high and allow the visitors to settle into their rhythm, the 1:1 outcome becomes more likely than a home win.