Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Feyenoord Women
Prediction for
Win: Anderlecht Women
70%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Average bookmaker line (30)
Odds range
2.38 — 2.54
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 1
Bookmaker market
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02Anderlecht to win
Anderlecht are set to win this return leg. The visitors took a 2:1 advantage from the first meeting on 26 August and the model projects a similar outcome here. Feyenoord Women lost their last home fixture 1:2 to AZ and will need to overturn a deficit against a side that has drawn four of their last five matches. The xG figures place Anderlecht significantly ahead, with 2.3 expected goals compared to Feyenoord's 0.8.
Feyenoord's recent form
Feyenoord Women have recorded three wins and two defeats in their last five outings. They opened the Eredivisie campaign with back-to-back 3:0 victories against NAC Breda and Excelsior before losing 1:2 at home to AZ. Their away record includes a 2:1 win over Heerenveen and the 1:2 defeat to Anderlecht. The side has scored 10 goals and conceded 5 across these matches.
Anderlecht's resilience
Anderlecht have kept a clean sheet in terms of not losing, with one win and four draws in their last five games. The 2:1 victory over Feyenoord was their only win, while they drew 1:1 in three league matches and another 1:1 against Club YLA. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 5, showing a tendency to keep results tight. Their discipline has been solid, with no red cards in the last three weeks.
Model projections
The statistical model favours Anderlecht with a 61% chance of three or more goals in the match. The most probable scorelines are 0:2 (11%), 0:1 (10%) and 1:2 (10%). Anderlecht control possession at 59% compared to Feyenoord's 48%, and their shots accuracy stands at 47% versus 37%. The visitors also register 10 corners per match against Feyenoord's 6.5.
Where the tie could turn
Anderlecht score 36% of their goals in the final 15 minutes but also concede 38% of their goals in that same period. If Feyenoord score early and manage the game well, the visitors' late vulnerability could expose them. A draw would suit Anderlecht's approach of holding possession and running down the clock, but Feyenoord must attack to salvage the tie. The conclusion of an Anderlecht win stops holding if the home side scores first and maintains the lead until the final whistle.