Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Fratria vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: match prediction on 7 September 2026
Fratria
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Prediction for
Win: Fratria
51%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
58%
1
25%
X
17%
2
Average bookmaker line (33)
1.56
1
3.60
X
5.23
2
Odds range
1.51 — 1.73
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 5 Sep, 16:03- Фратрия — 3. place, 14 points after 7 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses)
- Черноморец 1919 Бургас — 7. place, 11 points after 7 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses)
- Фратрия, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
- Черноморец 1919 Бургас, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Фратрия — 2, Черноморец 1919 Бургас — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Fratria
WDWDD
2 wins · 3 draws
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
LLWWD
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 2
2Fratria
0Draw
0Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
33
bookmakers counted
1.56
Average bookmaker line
1.51 — 1.73
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 5 Sep, 16:03Fratria win at 1.56
Fratria are favourites at 1.56, a price that has tightened from 1.64 since the line opened on 6 September. The model projects 1.4 expected goals for Fratria against 0.8 for the visitors, a gap the market has priced into the away odds at 5.22. The home side holds the edge.
Fratria sit fourth with 14 points from seven matches, three ahead of the visitors in ninth. Their recent record is cleaner: three wins and two draws in their last five, conceding only three goals while scoring eight. The visitors have taken seven points from the same span, with two defeats among them, including a 1-0 loss at home to CSKA Sofia II on 17 August.
The head-to-head does not offer the visitors much comfort. They lost 2-0 away in November 2025 and 2-1 at home in July that same year. Fratria have won both meetings, and the pattern of control carries through to the current season's form.
The visitors score a third of their goals after the 76th minute, but they also concede 45 per cent of their goals between the 46th and 60th minutes. Fratria attack in the 31-45 minute window with 25 per cent of their 24 goals, and they keep a steady presence in the final quarter with 21 per cent. If the visitors cannot survive that middle period, the match opens up for the hosts.
Pick: Fratria win at 1.56. The bet breaks if the visitors avoid conceding in the 46-60 minute block and instead exploit their late scoring tendency, or if a draw suits their approach to running the clock down. The model puts a draw at 27 per cent and both teams scoring at 43 per cent, so a tight game is possible, but the odds and the head-to-head point elsewhere.