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Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: match prediction on 14 September 2026

Liga MX Estadio Akron Zapopan Pending Match page
Guadalajara Chivas U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Prediction for

Win: Guadalajara Chivas

50%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

50% 1
26% X
23% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 02:13

Guadalajara Chivas consolidate their second-place position

Chivas entered the fixture with 14 points from seven games, compared to 11 for Pumas. In their last five outings, Chivas secured four wins and one draw, scoring 12 goals while conceding only four. Conversely, Pumas managed just one victory in their previous five matches, drawing three and losing once, with a goal difference of 5-5.

Chivas won five of the last nine encounters between the two clubs, while Pumas claimed two victories with two draws. Chivas averaged 61 per cent possession to Pumas' 48 per cent, and 6.5 shots on target per game to 3.9. The pre-match model predicted a narrow home edge, estimating goals at 1.5 for Chivas and 0.9 for Pumas.

The outcome impacts the standings, as Chivas consolidate their second-place position with four wins, two draws, and one defeat. Pumas, with three wins, two draws, and two losses, remain in seventh. A notable incident from earlier in the month saw Pumas defender Pablo Bennevendo receive a red card during a loss to Club Tijuana, a disciplinary issue that may have influenced their current standing.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 02:13
  • Гвадалахара Чивас — 2. place, 14 points after 7 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses)
  • Пумас — 7. place, 11 points after 7 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses)
  • Гвадалахара Чивас, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses
  • Пумас, last 5 games: 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 9 games, Гвадалахара Чивас — 5, 2 draws, Пумас — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Guadalajara Chivas WWWDW 4 wins · 1 draw
U.N.A.M. - Pumas DDDLW 1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss

Head to head 15

9Guadalajara Chivas 4Draw 2U.N.A.M. - Pumas
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+