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Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 6 Sep, 20:02
Guiseley AFC are favourites to progress at Stockton Town's expense. The visitors lost ground in recent weeks while Guiseley have kept themselves unbeaten across five matches, and the 2:2 draw three days ago showed Stockton could not hold them. A Guiseley victory is the most likely outcome, though a draw would be the scenario that upends that conclusion.
Stockton Town held Guiseley to a 2:2 result on 05.09.2026 at their own ground, but the visitors showed enough to suggest they could take something from this replay. Guiseley scored twice on the road and did not lose. Stockton failed to find a winner, and now they face the same fixture on unfamiliar turf.
Guiseley's form since that encounter has been steady. They drew with Barnsley in a friendly on 02.08.2026, then won three of their next four matches — against Pontefract Collieries, Blackburn Rovers U21, and Garforth Town. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 6 across those five games. The side has maintained 53% possession and generated 91 attacks each game over their last four outings.
Stockton's recent record offers less comfort. One win, one draw, and three defeats in five matches has left them on just 4 points. They scored 8 goals but conceded 11, and their most recent match — the FA Cup draw against Guiseley — was their only positive result in this period. Stockton managed 39% possession and one corner in that match.
The side's ability to score consistently — 10 goals in 5 matches — combined with Stockton's defensive frailties (11 conceded in the same span) creates a clear edge. The visitors have already proven they can find the net at Stockton's ground, and their unbeaten run gives them momentum.
A draw kills the tip. Stockton have shown they can match Guiseley on the scoreboard, and if they sit deep and manage the game defensively, the visitors could settle for a result that sends them through on away goals or a penalty shootout.
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 6 Sep, 20:02Guiseley AFC are favourites to progress at Stockton Town's expense. The visitors lost ground in recent weeks while Guiseley have kept themselves unbeaten across five matches, and the 2:2 draw three days ago showed Stockton could not hold them. A Guiseley victory is the most likely outcome, though a draw would be the scenario that upends that conclusion.
Stockton Town held Guiseley to a 2:2 result on 05.09.2026 at their own ground, but the visitors showed enough to suggest they could take something from this replay. Guiseley scored twice on the road and did not lose. Stockton failed to find a winner, and now they face the same fixture on unfamiliar turf.
Guiseley's form since that encounter has been steady. They drew with Barnsley in a friendly on 02.08.2026, then won three of their next four matches — against Pontefract Collieries, Blackburn Rovers U21, and Garforth Town. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 6 across those five games. The side has maintained 53% possession and generated 91 attacks each game over their last four outings.
Stockton's recent record offers less comfort. One win, one draw, and three defeats in five matches has left them on just 4 points. They scored 8 goals but conceded 11, and their most recent match — the FA Cup draw against Guiseley — was their only positive result in this period. Stockton managed 39% possession and one corner in that match.
The side's ability to score consistently — 10 goals in 5 matches — combined with Stockton's defensive frailties (11 conceded in the same span) creates a clear edge. The visitors have already proven they can find the net at Stockton's ground, and their unbeaten run gives them momentum.
A draw kills the tip. Stockton have shown they can match Guiseley on the scoreboard, and if they sit deep and manage the game defensively, the visitors could settle for a result that sends them through on away goals or a penalty shootout.
Guiseley AFC to win.