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Heart of Midlothian vs ST Johnstone: match prediction on 29 August 2026

Premiership Tynecastle Park Edinburgh Hit Match page
Heart of Midlothian ST Johnstone

Prediction for

Win: Heart of Midlothian

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

59% 1
22% X
18% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:06

Hearts to win, because the pattern is already set and the model confirms it.

The history between these sides does not suggest a shift, and in the most recent six encounters they have won four and drawn two. The model expects Hearts to score 1.9 goals and ST Johnstone 0.9, which points toward a one-goal margin.

Both teams sit on three points after two Premiership games, Hearts in fifth and ST Johnstone in sixth, but the quality gap shows in their recent records. Hearts have not lost in five matches — two wins and three draws — scoring 14 and conceding six. St Johnstone have won two, drawn one and lost two, with a more balanced 8:6 goal tally. The visitors took a 4:3 win against Kilmarnock but followed it with a 0:1 defeat away at St Mirren.

Hearts' attacking profile is worth noting. They score 43% of their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, while conceding 34% in the same period. ST Johnstone share a similar late-game tendency, with 34% of their goals coming after the 75th minute. Hearts have shown they can close out games — they won 4:0 against Dundee United and 6:2 against Inverness CT at home.

The model gives a 22% chance of a draw and 51% that both teams score. The three most likely scores are 1:0, 2:0 and 1:1, each at 11%. Hearts' defensive record in Europe this season — 1:1 draws with Rapid Wien and Benfica, plus a 1:6 away loss — shows they can be vulnerable, but their home form has been stronger. ST Johnstone's away record includes a 0:1 loss to St Mirren and a 0:1 defeat at Inverness CT.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:06
  • Харт оф Мидлотиан — 5. place, 3 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • Сент-Джонстон — 6. place, 3 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • Харт оф Мидлотиан, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
  • Сент-Джонстон, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 10 games, Харт оф Мидлотиан — 10, Сент-Джонстон — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Heart of Midlothian WWWLD 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
ST Johnstone LDWLD 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Head to head 13

11Heart of Midlothian 1Draw 1ST Johnstone
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+