ELJ
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Prediction for
Win: Heart of Midlothian
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 13
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:06Hearts to win, because the pattern is already set and the model confirms it.
The history between these sides does not suggest a shift, and in the most recent six encounters they have won four and drawn two. The model expects Hearts to score 1.9 goals and ST Johnstone 0.9, which points toward a one-goal margin.
Both teams sit on three points after two Premiership games, Hearts in fifth and ST Johnstone in sixth, but the quality gap shows in their recent records. Hearts have not lost in five matches — two wins and three draws — scoring 14 and conceding six. St Johnstone have won two, drawn one and lost two, with a more balanced 8:6 goal tally. The visitors took a 4:3 win against Kilmarnock but followed it with a 0:1 defeat away at St Mirren.
Hearts' attacking profile is worth noting. They score 43% of their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, while conceding 34% in the same period. ST Johnstone share a similar late-game tendency, with 34% of their goals coming after the 75th minute. Hearts have shown they can close out games — they won 4:0 against Dundee United and 6:2 against Inverness CT at home.
The model gives a 22% chance of a draw and 51% that both teams score. The three most likely scores are 1:0, 2:0 and 1:1, each at 11%. Hearts' defensive record in Europe this season — 1:1 draws with Rapid Wien and Benfica, plus a 1:6 away loss — shows they can be vulnerable, but their home form has been stronger. ST Johnstone's away record includes a 0:1 loss to St Mirren and a 0:1 defeat at Inverness CT.